TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13052684
Played Aug 31Finished
Martin Ulrych
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
911118911117117
Zdenek Zikmunda
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:56 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMartin Ulrych to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Ulrych above · Zdenek Zikmunda below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 95 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Martin Ulrych at 54.0%
95 points played in total.
H2H Martin Ulrych 1–2 Zdenek Zikmunda Martin Ulrych has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:56What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Zikmunda
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ulrych 1375 vs Zikmunda 1446
Zikmunda
Wrong
both rated, 71 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ulrych 60% vs Zikmunda 40%
Ulrych
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ulrych 50% vs Zikmunda 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Ulrych +1 · Zikmunda +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Zikmunda) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zikmunda form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsUlrych 2.63 / Zikmunda 1.44
Signal prob.36% / 65%
Edge (Zikmunda)-0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13052684
Ulrych2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog44% won 14 of 32
Down 0–1, comes back17% 3 of 18
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 15
Zikmunda1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeUlrych1wins
AwayZikmunda2wins
Zikmunda leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ulrych1Zikmunda2n = 3Zikmunda took 2 of 3
S2Ulrych2Zikmunda1n = 3Ulrych took 2 of 3
S3Ulrych1Zikmunda2n = 3Zikmunda took 2 of 3
S4Ulrych1Zikmunda2n = 3Zikmunda took 2 of 3
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away267%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricUlrychZikmundaU − ZBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match36.339.3−3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricUlrychZikmundaBasisWin rate · lifetime87 / 147 vs 3 / 759.2%42.9%87 / 147 vs 3 / 7Avg sets wonper match2.21.7per matchAvg pointsper match38.133.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZikmundaUlrych 2.63/Zikmunda 1.44
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.5%
Zikmunda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Ulrych won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LAug 31 · 11:30M. Ulrych—611691Z. Zikmunda—11611113
WAug 31 · 09:00M. Ulrych—12712113Z. Zikmunda—10111071
LAug 31 · 06:30M. Ulrych—911961Z. Zikmunda—11811113
M. Ulrych10
WSep 6 · 03:30M. Ulrych1.36111111113M. Novotny3.00613161WSep 6 · 01:30M. Ulrych1.6171111113V. Kosar2.20114651WSep 6 · 24:30J. Strnad1.83811451M. Ulrych1.8311911113WSep 5 · 23:30P. Berdych1.9181160M. Ulrych1.801113113WSep 5 · 22:30M. Ulrych1.831111113M. Novotny1.839580WAug 31 · 12:00M. Ulrych2.201111113A. Svoboda1.617380LAug 31 · 11:30Z. Zikmunda1.5711611113M. Ulrych2.25611691WAug 31 · 10:00M. Ulrych1.671111143P. Kulhanek2.1068120WAug 31 · 09:00Z. Zikmunda1.5010111071M. Ulrych2.5012712113LAug 31 · 08:00A. Svoboda1.831111113M. Ulrych1.838670
Z. Zikmunda10
LSep 5 · 13:28Z. Zikmunda1.8311971182Z. Drabek1.83811119113WSep 5 · 12:00Z. Zikmunda2.001111113Z. Drabek1.734650WSep 5 · 11:30M. Barta1.678230Z. Zikmunda2.101111113LSep 5 · 10:00Z. Zikmunda2.389790J. Strnad1.531111113LSep 5 · 09:28Z. Drabek1.735111011113Z. Zikmunda2.0011612792WSep 5 · 08:30M. Chalupnicek1.6171113682Z. Zikmunda2.201171111113LSep 5 · 07:30Z. Zikmunda2.0091171482Z. Drabek1.731171112113WSep 5 · 06:30M. Barta1.91181161192Z. Zikmunda1.80208116113WAug 31 · 11:30Z. Zikmunda1.5711611113M. Ulrych2.25611691LAug 31 · 09:00Z. Zikmunda1.5010111071M. Ulrych2.5012712113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.