TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13087396
Played Sep 7Finished
Jaroslav Strnad 1964
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511811711––––
Pavel Kulhanek
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:51 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Strnad 1964 to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJaroslav Strnad 1964 above · Pavel Kulhanek below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 53 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Jaroslav Strnad 1964 at 54.0%
53 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Strnad 1964 26–19 Pavel Kulhanek Pavel Kulhanek has won 19 of their 45 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:51What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Strnad
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
26-19 in 45
Strnad
Wrong
gap of 7 in 45, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Strnad 1341 vs Kulhanek 1333
Strnad
Wrong
both rated, 8 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Strnad 40% vs Kulhanek 60%
Kulhanek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Strnad 50% vs Kulhanek 70%
Kulhanek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Strnad +1 · Kulhanek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Strnad)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Strnad form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStrnad 1.80 / Kulhanek 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Strnad)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13087396
Strnad1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 133 of 234
Up 2–0, closes it93% 71 of 76
Up 1–0, closes it74% 105 of 142
Kulhanek1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog41% won 44 of 108
Down 0–1, comes back21% 15 of 70
Down 0–2, comes back13% 6 of 48
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStrnad3wins
AwayKulhanek7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderKulhanek leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStrnad40%2 of 5
AwayKulhanek80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Strnad5Kulhanek5n = 10split evenly
S2Strnad7Kulhanek3n = 10Strnad took 7 of 10
S3Strnad5Kulhanek5n = 10split evenly
S4Strnad3Kulhanek5n = 8Kulhanek took 5 of 8
S5Strnad0Kulhanek5n = 5Kulhanek took 5 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricStrnadKulhanekS − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.041.3−1.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStrnadKulhanekBasisWin rate · lifetime536 / 1102 vs 225 / 41748.6%54%536 / 1102 vs 225 / 417Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.436.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StrnadStrnad 1.80/Kulhanek 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Strnad · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kulhanek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 13:30J. Strnad—11119133P. Kulhanek—4111111
LSep 4 · 10:00J. Strnad—11711562P. Kulhanek—811711113
LSep 2 · 23:30J. Strnad—111357112P. Kulhanek—9111111133
WAug 21 · 23:00J. Strnad—1111113P. Kulhanek—6460
LAug 20 · 11:00J. Strnad—511691P. Kulhanek—11411113
LAug 7 · 02:00J. Strnad—611111172P. Kulhanek—119713113
LAug 3 · 17:30J. Strnad—96110P. Kulhanek—1111133
LAug 3 · 14:00J. Strnad—11815482P. Kulhanek—9111311113
LAug 1 · 01:00J. Strnad—61171192P. Kulhanek—117119113
WJul 17 · 12:00J. Strnad—71113123P. Kulhanek—11811101
J. Strnad10
WSep 7 · 10:00M. Chalupnicek2.208480J. Strnad1.611111113LSep 6 · 02:59J. Strnad1.80471151V. Kosar1.9111119113LSep 6 · 02:00M. Novotny1.3311119123J. Strnad3.259811101LSep 6 · 24:30J. Strnad1.83811451M. Ulrych1.8311911113WSep 5 · 23:00J. Strnad2.251111123V. Kosar1.5765100WSep 5 · 22:00P. Berdych1.80611981J. Strnad1.9111911113LSep 5 · 12:59J. Strnad1.615930M. Barta2.201111113WSep 5 · 12:30J. Strnad1.5711117143M. Barta2.256811121LSep 5 · 11:00J. Strnad2.106760Z. Drabek1.671111113WSep 5 · 10:00Z. Zikmunda2.389790J. Strnad1.531111113
P. Kulhanek10
LSep 7 · 12:00M. Chalupnicek1.6111611113P. Kulhanek2.20611381WSep 7 · 10:30P. Kulhanek1.4411138113J. Svec2.637111161LSep 4 · 13:30J. Strnad1.8511119133P. Kulhanek1.854111111WSep 4 · 12:00P. Kulhanek1.91411311113Z. Drabek1.8011911282LSep 4 · 11:30M. Chalupnicek1.801111113P. Kulhanek1.916960WSep 4 · 10:00P. Kulhanek1.80811711113J. Strnad1.9111711562LSep 3 · 03:28P. Kulhanek2.2591112842M. Syroha1.571181011113WSep 3 · 01:30P. Kulhanek2.0014113113J. Framberk1.731291171WSep 3 · 24:30M. Syroha1.57119811102P. Kulhanek2.25411118123WSep 2 · 23:30J. Strnad1.53111357112P. Kulhanek2.389111111133
Upcoming Matches
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P. Kulhanek
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