TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13087530
Played Sep 7Finished
Milan Chalupnicek
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116611113118––
Pavel Kulhanek
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:15 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeMilan Chalupnicek to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMilan Chalupnicek above · Pavel Kulhanek below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 67 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Milan Chalupnicek at 58.9%
67 points played in total.
H2H Milan Chalupnicek 12–8 Pavel Kulhanek Pavel Kulhanek has won 8 of their 20 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:15What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Chalupnicek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-8 in 20
Chalupnicek
Correct
gap of 4 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Chalupnicek 1329 vs Kulhanek 1347
Kulhanek
Wrong
both rated, 19 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chalupnicek 40% vs Kulhanek 60%
Kulhanek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chalupnicek 50% vs Kulhanek 70%
Kulhanek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Chalupnicek -1 · Kulhanek +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Chalupnicek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kulhanek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChalupnicek 1.61 / Kulhanek 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Chalupnicek)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13087530
Chalupnicek1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 58 of 98
Up 2–0, closes it96% 27 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it79% 34 of 43
Kulhanek2.20
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog41% won 44 of 108
Down 0–1, comes back21% 15 of 70
Down 0–2, comes back13% 6 of 48
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeChalupnicek8wins
AwayKulhanek2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderChalupnicek leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChalupnicek85.7%6 of 7
AwayKulhanek33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chalupnicek7Kulhanek3n = 10Chalupnicek took 7 of 10
S2Chalupnicek7Kulhanek3n = 10Chalupnicek took 7 of 10
S3Chalupnicek7Kulhanek3n = 10Chalupnicek took 7 of 10
S4Chalupnicek3Kulhanek3n = 6split evenly
S5Chalupnicek2Kulhanek1n = 3Chalupnicek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricChalupnicekKulhanekC − KBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.833.7+5.1per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChalupnicekKulhanekBasisWin rate · lifetime325 / 660 vs 226 / 41849.2%54.1%325 / 660 vs 226 / 418Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.136.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChalupnicekChalupnicek 1.61/Kulhanek 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Chalupnicek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Chalupnicek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 11:30M. Chalupnicek—1111113P. Kulhanek—6960
LJul 17 · 11:00M. Chalupnicek—4790P. Kulhanek—1111113
WJun 13 · 10:00M. Chalupnicek—9111111113P. Kulhanek—11971392
LApr 24 · 13:28M. Chalupnicek—11311772P. Kulhanek—511811113
WApr 24 · 12:00M. Chalupnicek—111144113P. Kulhanek—86111152
WApr 8 · 13:00M. Chalupnicek—111111123P. Kulhanek—8130101
WApr 8 · 12:00M. Chalupnicek—1111113P. Kulhanek—8750
WApr 7 · 12:00M. Chalupnicek—1111113P. Kulhanek—7790
WApr 1 · 16:30M. Chalupnicek—121111113P. Kulhanek—1091351
WMar 14 · 13:30M. Chalupnicek—121111123P. Kulhanek—1457101
M. Chalupnicek10
WSep 7 · 11:30J. Svec2.101012141142M. Chalupnicek1.671210169113LSep 7 · 10:00M. Chalupnicek2.208480J. Strnad1.611111113WSep 5 · 08:59M. Chalupnicek1.44111128113M. Barta2.6374111122LSep 5 · 08:30M. Chalupnicek1.6171113682Z. Zikmunda2.201171111113WSep 5 · 07:00M. Chalupnicek1.5711118113M. Barta2.25331171LSep 5 · 06:00Z. Drabek2.2051114123M. Chalupnicek1.6111812101WSep 4 · 13:06M. Chalupnicek1.681113113Z. Drabek2.0581140LSep 4 · 12:30J. Strnad1.571011711113M. Chalupnicek2.2512611752WSep 4 · 11:30M. Chalupnicek1.801111113P. Kulhanek1.916960LSep 4 · 10:30Z. Drabek2.10114611123M. Chalupnicek1.67511115102
P. Kulhanek10
WSep 7 · 11:00J. Strnad1.805870P. Kulhanek1.911111113WSep 7 · 10:30P. Kulhanek1.4411138113J. Svec2.637111161LSep 4 · 13:30J. Strnad1.8511119133P. Kulhanek1.854111111WSep 4 · 12:00P. Kulhanek1.91411311113Z. Drabek1.8011911282LSep 4 · 11:30M. Chalupnicek1.801111113P. Kulhanek1.916960WSep 4 · 10:00P. Kulhanek1.80811711113J. Strnad1.9111711562LSep 3 · 03:28P. Kulhanek2.2591112842M. Syroha1.571181011113WSep 3 · 01:30P. Kulhanek2.0014113113J. Framberk1.731291171WSep 3 · 24:30M. Syroha1.57119811102P. Kulhanek2.25411118123WSep 2 · 23:30J. Strnad1.53111357112P. Kulhanek2.389111111133
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