TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13087043
Played Sep 7Finished
Pavel Kulhanek
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1171311811116––
Jiri Svec
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:09 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJiri Svec to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingPavel Kulhanek above · Jiri Svec below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 78 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Jiri Svec at 54.0%
78 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Kulhanek 13–10 Jiri Svec Jiri Svec has won 10 of their 23 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:09What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Kulhanek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-10 in 23
Kulhanek
Correct
gap of 3 in 23, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kulhanek 1322 vs Svec 1299
Kulhanek
Correct
both rated, 24 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kulhanek 40% vs Svec 80%
Svec
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kulhanek 60% vs Svec 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kulhanek -1 · Svec +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Kulhanek) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Svec form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKulhanek 1.44 / Svec 2.63
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Kulhanek)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13087043
Kulhanek1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite71% won 54 of 76
Up 2–0, closes it94% 29 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it83% 35 of 42
Svec2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog37% won 57 of 154
Down 0–1, comes back17% 14 of 81
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 52
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKulhanek7wins
AwaySvec3wins
1 of 10 to a deciderKulhanek leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKulhanek100%7 of 7
AwaySvec100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kulhanek7Svec3n = 10Kulhanek took 7 of 10
S2Kulhanek9Svec1n = 10Kulhanek took 9 of 10
S3Kulhanek7Svec3n = 10Kulhanek took 7 of 10
S4Kulhanek2Svec3n = 5Svec took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKulhanekSvecK − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.631.6+6.0per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKulhanekSvecBasisWin rate · lifetime224 / 416 vs 396 / 84553.9%46.9%224 / 416 vs 396 / 845Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.937.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KulhanekKulhanek 1.44/Svec 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.9%
Kulhanek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kulhanek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 17 · 13:29P. Kulhanek—11118113J. Svec—691131
WJul 17 · 10:30P. Kulhanek—1214133J. Svec—1012110
WJun 22 · 07:00P. Kulhanek—1111113J. Svec—8280
WApr 17 · 11:00P. Kulhanek—11129113J. Svec—6101151
WApr 3 · 16:30P. Kulhanek—1112143J. Svec—910120
LMar 27 · 12:30P. Kulhanek—31111772J. Svec—118911113
WMar 10 · 13:30P. Kulhanek—1111113J. Svec—5490
WFeb 24 · 11:30P. Kulhanek—1111113J. Svec—8640
LFeb 20 · 13:30P. Kulhanek—91012111J. Svec—111210133
LFeb 6 · 13:30P. Kulhanek—6111181J. Svec—11613113
P. Kulhanek10
LSep 7 · 12:00M. Chalupnicek1.6111611113P. Kulhanek2.20611381WSep 7 · 11:00J. Strnad1.805870P. Kulhanek1.911111113LSep 4 · 13:30J. Strnad1.8511119133P. Kulhanek1.854111111WSep 4 · 12:00P. Kulhanek1.91411311113Z. Drabek1.8011911282LSep 4 · 11:30M. Chalupnicek1.801111113P. Kulhanek1.916960WSep 4 · 10:00P. Kulhanek1.80811711113J. Strnad1.9111711562LSep 3 · 03:28P. Kulhanek2.2591112842M. Syroha1.571181011113WSep 3 · 01:30P. Kulhanek2.0014113113J. Framberk1.731291171WSep 3 · 24:30M. Syroha1.57119811102P. Kulhanek2.25411118123WSep 2 · 23:30J. Strnad1.53111357112P. Kulhanek2.389111111133
J. Svec10
LSep 7 · 11:30J. Svec2.101012141142M. Chalupnicek1.671210169113WSep 4 · 09:30J. Svec2.501111113Z. Drabek1.503770LSep 4 · 08:30J. Svec2.5012761182Z. Drabek1.501011115113WSep 4 · 07:00J. Svec3.50711119113P. Sudek1.2811881192WSep 4 · 06:00M. Chalupnicek1.6176111272J. Svec2.201111910113WSep 2 · 09:28L. Forman1.80812117102J. Svec1.911110711123LSep 2 · 08:00J. Svec1.9111117972J. Grohsgott1.80991111113WSep 2 · 07:30L. Forman1.91711118102J. Svec1.80116711123WSep 2 · 06:00J. Svec1.441111143D. Mutl2.6394120LSep 1 · 08:58J. Strnad1.50911118113J. Svec2.5011471162
Upcoming Matches
P. Kulhanek
Nothing scheduled
J. Svec2 of 4 neutral
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