TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13058924
Played Sep 2Finished
Jiri Svec
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
119119711911711
Jiri Grohsgott
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:09 and never touched — 62.6% is still 62.6%
Graded at full timeJiri Grohsgott to win
62.6%
62.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJiri Svec above · Jiri Grohsgott below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 96 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Jiri Grohsgott at 62.6%
96 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Svec 50–86 Jiri Grohsgott Jiri Svec has won 50 of their 136 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:09What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Grohsgott
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
50-86 in 136
Grohsgott
Correct
gap of 36 in 136, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Svec 1276 vs Grohsgott 1179
Svec
Wrong
both rated, 96 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Svec 40% vs Grohsgott 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Svec 40% vs Grohsgott 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Svec +2 · Grohsgott +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Svec) · live re-read · sealed at 37% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Grohsgott form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSvec 1.91 / Grohsgott 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Svec)+5.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13058924
Svec1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog35% won 54 of 155
Down 0–1, comes back16% 14 of 86
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 58
Grohsgott1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite64% won 155 of 244
Up 2–0, closes it96% 86 of 90
Up 1–0, closes it82% 115 of 141
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSvec2wins
AwayGrohsgott8wins
5 of 10 to a deciderGrohsgott leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSvec33.3%2 of 6
AwayGrohsgott100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Svec6Grohsgott4n = 10Svec took 6 of 10
S2Svec6Grohsgott4n = 10Svec took 6 of 10
S3Svec5Grohsgott5n = 10split evenly
S4Svec1Grohsgott6n = 7Grohsgott took 6 of 7
S5Svec0Grohsgott5n = 5Grohsgott took 5 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSvecGrohsgottS − GBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match35.038.4−3.4per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSvecGrohsgottBasisWin rate · lifetime392 / 839 vs 746 / 154046.7%48.4%392 / 839 vs 746 / 1540Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.836.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SvecSvec 1.91/Grohsgott 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Svec · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Grohsgott won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 24 · 06:00J. Svec—1112113J. Grohsgott—71040
WAug 14 · 06:00J. Svec—1111113J. Grohsgott—3770
LAug 11 · 07:30J. Svec—931191J. Grohsgott—11116113
LAug 7 · 14:00J. Svec—11114452J. Grohsgott—851111113
LJul 29 · 18:30J. Svec—5740J. Grohsgott—1111113
LJul 21 · 11:30J. Svec—11711842J. Grohsgott—711311113
LJul 18 · 16:30J. Svec—11136862J. Grohsgott—9111111113
LJul 14 · 07:30J. Svec—61151192J. Grohsgott—113119113
LJun 27 · 19:00J. Svec—761171J. Grohsgott—11117113
LJun 26 · 16:30J. Svec—111161042J. Grohsgott—761112113
J. Svec10
WSep 4 · 09:30J. Svec2.501111113Z. Drabek1.503770LSep 4 · 08:30J. Svec2.5012761182Z. Drabek1.501011115113WSep 4 · 07:00J. Svec3.50711119113P. Sudek1.2811881192WSep 4 · 06:00M. Chalupnicek1.6176111272J. Svec2.201111910113WSep 2 · 09:28L. Forman1.80812117102J. Svec1.911110711123WSep 2 · 07:30L. Forman1.91711118102J. Svec1.80116711123WSep 2 · 06:00J. Svec1.441111143D. Mutl2.6394120LSep 1 · 08:58J. Strnad1.50911118113J. Svec2.5011471162LSep 1 · 08:30J. Svec2.3812780J. Strnad1.531411113LSep 1 · 07:00J. Svec3.5010111161P. Sudek1.2812913113
J. Grohsgott10
LSep 5 · 17:30J. Grohsgott3.00101511642M. Regner1.341213811113LSep 5 · 16:30M. Regner1.25812118113J. Grohsgott3.75111071172WSep 5 · 15:30J. Grohsgott1.671111133V. Stach2.1038110WSep 5 · 14:30M. Syroha1.91911111092J. Grohsgott1.80113912113LSep 5 · 13:00J. Grohsgott1.959530L. Havrda1.751111113LSep 5 · 12:30L. Havrda1.831111113J. Grohsgott1.838750LSep 5 · 11:30J. Grohsgott1.809119111M. Syroha1.9111811133WSep 5 · 10:30V. Stach2.1011470J. Grohsgott1.671311113LSep 4 · 03:30J. Grohsgott2.1091111862M. Vaclavik1.65119911113WSep 4 · 01:30J. Grohsgott1.671111113A. Hejduk2.106880
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