TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13052434
Played Sep 1Finished
Jiri Svec
Home
3.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
10121191113611––
Petr Sudek
Away
1.29
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:07 and never touched — 55.5% is still 55.5%
Graded at full timePetr Sudek to win
55.5%
55.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJiri Svec above · Petr Sudek below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 83 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Petr Sudek at 55.5%
83 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Svec 0–2 Petr Sudek Jiri Svec has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:07What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Sudek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Svec 1279 vs Sudek 1315
Sudek
Correct
both rated, 36 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Svec 40% vs Sudek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Svec 60% vs Sudek 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Svec +1 · Sudek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Sudek) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sudek form (40%) is below what odds imply (78%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSvec 3.50 / Sudek 1.28
Signal prob.27% / 73%
Edge (Sudek)-0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13052434
Svec3.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog35% won 55 of 157
Down 0–1, comes back16% 14 of 86
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 58
Sudek1.28
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite54% won 14 of 26
Up 2–0, closes it90% 9 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it75% 12 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeSvec0wins
AwaySudek2wins
Sudek leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricSvecSudekSvec − SudekBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match30.039.0−9.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSvecSudekBasisWin rate · lifetime393 / 841 vs 84 / 17546.7%48%393 / 841 vs 84 / 175Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SudekSvec 3.50/Sudek 1.28
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.1%
Sudek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sudek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 1 · 07:00J. Svec—10111161P. Sudek—12913113
LAug 4 · 08:00J. Svec—7870P. Sudek—1111113
J. Svec10
WSep 4 · 09:30J. Svec2.501111113Z. Drabek1.503770LSep 4 · 08:30J. Svec2.5012761182Z. Drabek1.501011115113WSep 4 · 07:00J. Svec3.50711119113P. Sudek1.2811881192WSep 4 · 06:00M. Chalupnicek1.6176111272J. Svec2.201111910113WSep 2 · 09:28L. Forman1.80812117102J. Svec1.911110711123LSep 2 · 08:00J. Svec1.9111117972J. Grohsgott1.80991111113WSep 2 · 07:30L. Forman1.91711118102J. Svec1.80116711123WSep 2 · 06:00J. Svec1.441111143D. Mutl2.6394120LSep 1 · 08:58J. Strnad1.50911118113J. Svec2.5011471162LSep 1 · 08:30J. Svec2.3812780J. Strnad1.531411113
P. Sudek10
LSep 4 · 09:00P. Sudek1.401191481M. Chalupnicek2.7581116113WSep 4 · 08:00M. Chalupnicek2.637101121P. Sudek1.4411125113LSep 4 · 07:00J. Svec3.50711119113P. Sudek1.2811881192LSep 4 · 06:30P. Sudek1.8011991192Z. Drabek1.91611117113WSep 1 · 09:28P. Sudek1.571111123M. Chalupnicek2.2545100LSep 1 · 08:00M. Chalupnicek2.251151011133P. Sudek1.57511126112WSep 1 · 06:30P. Sudek2.0081111143J. Strnad1.731189121LAug 6 · 13:00P. Sudek1.83411971J. Strnad1.8311411113LAug 6 · 12:00P. Sudek2.2079130J. Grohsgott1.611111153WAug 6 · 11:30Z. Drabek1.83915101292P. Sudek1.8311131210113
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