TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12366440
Played Aug 6Finished
Petr Sudek
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
7119111315––––
Jiri Grohsgott
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:28 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePetr Sudek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingPetr Sudek above · Jiri Grohsgott below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 13-15
Point 66 set 3, 13-15 — our read held Petr Sudek at 54.0%
66 points played in total.
H2H Petr Sudek 1–3 Jiri Grohsgott Petr Sudek has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:28What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Grohsgott
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-3 in 4
Grohsgott
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sudek 1324 vs Grohsgott 1218
Sudek
Wrong
both rated, 106 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sudek 80% vs Grohsgott 20%
Sudek
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sudek 60% vs Grohsgott 40%
Sudek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sudek -1 · Grohsgott +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Grohsgott) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Grohsgott form (20%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSudek 2.20 / Grohsgott 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Grohsgott)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12366440
Sudek2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog29% won 7 of 24
Down 0–1, comes back0% 0 of 11
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 8
Grohsgott1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite66% won 152 of 229
Up 2–0, closes it98% 84 of 86
Up 1–0, closes it82% 114 of 139
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeSudek1wins
AwayGrohsgott3wins
1 of 4 to a deciderGrohsgott leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSudekn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayGrohsgott66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sudek1Grohsgott3n = 4Grohsgott took 3 of 4
S2Sudek1Grohsgott3n = 4Grohsgott took 3 of 4
S3Sudek0Grohsgott4n = 4Grohsgott took 4 of 4
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away250%
These 4 meetings
MetricSudekGrohsgottS − GBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match35.541.2−5.7per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSudekGrohsgottBasisWin rate · lifetime80 / 168 vs 743 / 152047.6%48.9%80 / 168 vs 743 / 1520Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.136.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GrohsgottSudek 2.20/Grohsgott 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Grohsgott · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Grohsgott won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LJun 11 · 12:00P. Sudek—101040J. Grohsgott—1212113
LJun 2 · 06:30P. Sudek—6680J. Grohsgott—1111113
LMay 15 · 10:00P. Sudek—1561371J. Grohsgott—131115113
WApr 23 · 11:30P. Sudek—1011811173J. Grohsgott—127112152
P. Sudek10
LSep 4 · 09:00P. Sudek1.401191481M. Chalupnicek2.7581116113WSep 4 · 08:00M. Chalupnicek2.637101121P. Sudek1.4411125113LSep 4 · 07:00J. Svec3.50711119113P. Sudek1.2811881192LSep 4 · 06:30P. Sudek1.8011991192Z. Drabek1.91611117113WSep 1 · 09:28P. Sudek1.571111123M. Chalupnicek2.2545100LSep 1 · 08:00M. Chalupnicek2.251151011133P. Sudek1.57511126112WSep 1 · 07:00J. Svec3.5010111161P. Sudek1.2812913113WSep 1 · 06:30P. Sudek2.0081111143J. Strnad1.731189121LAug 6 · 13:00P. Sudek1.83411971J. Strnad1.8311411113WAug 6 · 11:30Z. Drabek1.83915101292P. Sudek1.8311131210113
J. Grohsgott10
LSep 5 · 17:30J. Grohsgott3.00101511642M. Regner1.341213811113LSep 5 · 16:30M. Regner1.25812118113J. Grohsgott3.75111071172WSep 5 · 15:30J. Grohsgott1.671111133V. Stach2.1038110WSep 5 · 14:30M. Syroha1.91911111092J. Grohsgott1.80113912113LSep 5 · 13:00J. Grohsgott1.959530L. Havrda1.751111113LSep 5 · 12:30L. Havrda1.831111113J. Grohsgott1.838750LSep 5 · 11:30J. Grohsgott1.809119111M. Syroha1.9111811133WSep 5 · 10:30V. Stach2.1011470J. Grohsgott1.671311113LSep 4 · 03:30J. Grohsgott2.1091111862M. Vaclavik1.65119911113WSep 4 · 01:30J. Grohsgott1.671111113A. Hejduk2.106880
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