TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13070518
Played Sep 4Finished
Petr Sudek
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
116911911117911
Zbynek Drabek
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:19 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timePetr Sudek to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingPetr Sudek above · Zbynek Drabek below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 95 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Petr Sudek at 54.5%
95 points played in total.
H2H Petr Sudek 1–1 Zbynek Drabek Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:19What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Sudek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Sudek 1294 vs Drabek 1320
Drabek
Correct
both rated, 26 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sudek 60% vs Drabek 40%
Sudek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sudek 60% vs Drabek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sudek +1 · Drabek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sudek) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Drabek form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSudek 1.80 / Drabek 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Sudek)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13070518
Sudek1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite50% won 15 of 30
Up 2–0, closes it91% 10 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it65% 13 of 20
Drabek1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 17 of 40
Down 0–1, comes back33% 7 of 21
Down 0–2, comes back15% 2 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeSudek1wins
AwayDrabek1wins
2 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 2 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricSudekDrabekS − DBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match53.050.5+2.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSudekDrabekBasisWin rate · lifetime85 / 179 vs 47 / 9247.5%51.1%85 / 179 vs 47 / 92Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SudekSudek 1.80/Drabek 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Sudek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Drabek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 4 · 06:30P. Sudek—11991192Z. Drabek—611117113
WAug 6 · 11:30P. Sudek—11131210113Z. Drabek—915101292
P. Sudek10
LSep 4 · 09:00P. Sudek1.401191481M. Chalupnicek2.7581116113WSep 4 · 08:00M. Chalupnicek2.637101121P. Sudek1.4411125113LSep 4 · 07:00J. Svec3.50711119113P. Sudek1.2811881192WSep 1 · 09:28P. Sudek1.571111123M. Chalupnicek2.2545100LSep 1 · 08:00M. Chalupnicek2.251151011133P. Sudek1.57511126112WSep 1 · 07:00J. Svec3.5010111161P. Sudek1.2812913113WSep 1 · 06:30P. Sudek2.0081111143J. Strnad1.731189121LAug 6 · 13:00P. Sudek1.83411971J. Strnad1.8311411113LAug 6 · 12:00P. Sudek2.2079130J. Grohsgott1.611111153WAug 6 · 11:30Z. Drabek1.83915101292P. Sudek1.8311131210113
Z. Drabek10
WSep 5 · 13:28Z. Zikmunda1.8311971182Z. Drabek1.83811119113LSep 5 · 12:00Z. Zikmunda2.001111113Z. Drabek1.734650WSep 5 · 11:00J. Strnad2.106760Z. Drabek1.671111113WSep 5 · 10:30Z. Drabek1.30101111113M. Barta3.40126471WSep 5 · 09:28Z. Drabek1.735111011113Z. Zikmunda2.0011612792WSep 5 · 08:00Z. Drabek1.441111113M. Barta2.634870WSep 5 · 07:30Z. Zikmunda2.0091171482Z. Drabek1.731171112113WSep 5 · 06:00Z. Drabek2.2051114123M. Chalupnicek1.6111812101LSep 4 · 13:06M. Chalupnicek1.681113113Z. Drabek2.0581140LAug 6 · 11:30Z. Drabek1.83915101292P. Sudek1.8311131210113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.