TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13052433
Played Sep 1Finished
Petr Sudek
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
8111181191412––
Jaroslav Strnad 1964
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:06 and never touched — 54.2% is still 54.2%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Strnad 1964 to win
54.2%
54.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingPetr Sudek above · Jaroslav Strnad 1964 below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 14-12
Point 84 set 4, 14-12 — our read held Jaroslav Strnad 1964 at 54.2%
84 points played in total.
H2H Petr Sudek 9–12 Jaroslav Strnad 1964 Petr Sudek has won 9 of their 21 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:06What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Strnad
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-12 in 21
Strnad
Wrong
gap of 3 in 21, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sudek 1315 vs Strnad 1295
Sudek
Correct
both rated, 19 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sudek 40% vs Strnad 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sudek 60% vs Strnad 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sudek -2 · Strnad -3
Strnad
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Strnad)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Strnad form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSudek 2.00 / Strnad 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 55%
Edge (Strnad)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13052433
Sudek2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog29% won 6 of 21
Down 0–1, comes back9% 1 of 11
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 8
Strnad1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite57% won 130 of 228
Up 2–0, closes it93% 69 of 74
Up 1–0, closes it74% 103 of 140
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSudek4wins
AwayStrnad6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderStrnad leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSudek40%2 of 5
AwayStrnad60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sudek5Strnad5n = 10split evenly
S2Sudek5Strnad5n = 10split evenly
S3Sudek3Strnad7n = 10Strnad took 7 of 10
S4Sudek3Strnad6n = 9Strnad took 6 of 9
S5Sudek2Strnad1n = 3Sudek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSudekStrnadSudek − StrnadBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.339.2−2.9per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSudekStrnadBasisWin rate · lifetime84 / 175 vs 528 / 108848%48.5%84 / 175 vs 528 / 1088Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.337.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StrnadSudek 2.00/Strnad 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.5%
Strnad · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sudek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 1 · 06:30P. Sudek—81111143J. Strnad—1189121
LAug 6 · 13:00P. Sudek—411971J. Strnad—11411113
LAug 6 · 10:00P. Sudek—11611972J. Strnad—811211113
WAug 4 · 09:30P. Sudek—11912113J. Strnad—4111071
WAug 4 · 06:00P. Sudek—111137113J. Strnad—86111112
LApr 27 · 11:30P. Sudek—115561J. Strnad—61111113
LApr 16 · 06:00P. Sudek—1191061J. Strnad—71112113
LMar 18 · 09:30P. Sudek—7970J. Strnad—1111113
LFeb 18 · 10:30P. Sudek—511611J. Strnad—11711113
WFeb 18 · 07:30P. Sudek—511911133J. Strnad—119118112
P. Sudek10
LSep 4 · 09:00P. Sudek1.401191481M. Chalupnicek2.7581116113WSep 4 · 08:00M. Chalupnicek2.637101121P. Sudek1.4411125113LSep 4 · 07:00J. Svec3.50711119113P. Sudek1.2811881192LSep 4 · 06:30P. Sudek1.8011991192Z. Drabek1.91611117113WSep 1 · 09:28P. Sudek1.571111123M. Chalupnicek2.2545100LSep 1 · 08:00M. Chalupnicek2.251151011133P. Sudek1.57511126112WSep 1 · 07:00J. Svec3.5010111161P. Sudek1.2812913113LAug 6 · 13:00P. Sudek1.83411971J. Strnad1.8311411113LAug 6 · 12:00P. Sudek2.2079130J. Grohsgott1.611111153WAug 6 · 11:30Z. Drabek1.83915101292P. Sudek1.8311131210113
J. Strnad10
LSep 6 · 02:59J. Strnad1.80471151V. Kosar1.9111119113LSep 6 · 02:00M. Novotny1.3311119123J. Strnad3.259811101LSep 6 · 24:30J. Strnad1.83811451M. Ulrych1.8311911113WSep 5 · 23:00J. Strnad2.251111123V. Kosar1.5765100WSep 5 · 22:00P. Berdych1.80611981J. Strnad1.9111911113LSep 5 · 12:59J. Strnad1.615930M. Barta2.201111113WSep 5 · 12:30J. Strnad1.5711117143M. Barta2.256811121LSep 5 · 11:00J. Strnad2.106760Z. Drabek1.671111113WSep 5 · 10:00Z. Zikmunda2.389790J. Strnad1.531111113WAug 6 · 13:00P. Sudek1.83411971J. Strnad1.8311411113
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