TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12371095
Played Aug 6Finished
Petr Sudek
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
411114911711––
Jaroslav Strnad 1964
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:59 and never touched — 54.8% is still 54.8%
Graded at full timePetr Sudek to win
54.8%
54.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingPetr Sudek above · Jaroslav Strnad 1964 below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 68 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Petr Sudek at 54.8%
68 points played in total.
H2H Petr Sudek 8–10 Jaroslav Strnad 1964 Petr Sudek has won 8 of their 18 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:59What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Strnad
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-10 in 18
Strnad
Correct
gap of 2 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sudek 1317 vs Strnad 1188
Sudek
Wrong
both rated, 128 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sudek 80% vs Strnad 40%
Sudek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sudek 70% vs Strnad 30%
Sudek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sudek -1 · Strnad -3
Strnad
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sudek) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Strnad form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSudek 1.83 / Strnad 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Sudek)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12371095
Sudek1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Strnad1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSudek4wins
AwayStrnad6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderStrnad leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSudek42.9%3 of 7
AwayStrnad66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sudek7Strnad3n = 10Sudek took 7 of 10
S2Sudek4Strnad6n = 10Strnad took 6 of 10
S3Sudek2Strnad8n = 10Strnad took 8 of 10
S4Sudek3Strnad5n = 8Strnad took 5 of 8
S5Sudek2Strnad1n = 3Sudek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSudekStrnadSudek − StrnadBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match35.037.1−2.1per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSudekStrnadBasisWin rate · lifetime81 / 170 vs 497 / 102947.7%48.3%81 / 170 vs 497 / 1029Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.237.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SudekSudek 1.83/Strnad 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Sudek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Strnad won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 4 · 09:30P. Sudek—11912113J. Strnad—4111071
WAug 4 · 06:00P. Sudek—111137113J. Strnad—86111112
LApr 27 · 11:30P. Sudek—115561J. Strnad—61111113
LApr 16 · 06:00P. Sudek—1191061J. Strnad—71112113
LMar 18 · 09:30P. Sudek—7970J. Strnad—1111113
LFeb 18 · 10:30P. Sudek—511611J. Strnad—11711113
WFeb 18 · 07:30P. Sudek—511911133J. Strnad—119118112
LDec 18 · 08:30P. Sudek—11371172J. Strnad—811114113
WNov 26 · 10:30P. Sudek—1111113J. Strnad—3570
LNov 26 · 09:30P. Sudek—1110671J. Strnad—51211113
P. Sudek10
LSep 4 · 09:00P. Sudek1.401191481M. Chalupnicek2.7581116113WSep 4 · 08:00M. Chalupnicek2.637101121P. Sudek1.4411125113LSep 4 · 07:00J. Svec3.50711119113P. Sudek1.2811881192LSep 4 · 06:30P. Sudek1.8011991192Z. Drabek1.91611117113WSep 1 · 09:28P. Sudek1.571111123M. Chalupnicek2.2545100LSep 1 · 08:00M. Chalupnicek2.251151011133P. Sudek1.57511126112WSep 1 · 07:00J. Svec3.5010111161P. Sudek1.2812913113WSep 1 · 06:30P. Sudek2.0081111143J. Strnad1.731189121LAug 6 · 12:00P. Sudek2.2079130J. Grohsgott1.611111153WAug 6 · 11:30Z. Drabek1.83915101292P. Sudek1.8311131210113
J. Strnad10
LSep 6 · 02:59J. Strnad1.80471151V. Kosar1.9111119113LSep 6 · 02:00M. Novotny1.3311119123J. Strnad3.259811101LSep 6 · 24:30J. Strnad1.83811451M. Ulrych1.8311911113WSep 5 · 23:00J. Strnad2.251111123V. Kosar1.5765100WSep 5 · 22:00P. Berdych1.80611981J. Strnad1.9111911113LSep 5 · 12:59J. Strnad1.615930M. Barta2.201111113WSep 5 · 12:30J. Strnad1.5711117143M. Barta2.256811121LSep 5 · 11:00J. Strnad2.106760Z. Drabek1.671111113WSep 5 · 10:00Z. Zikmunda2.389790J. Strnad1.531111113LSep 1 · 06:30P. Sudek2.0081111143J. Strnad1.731189121
Upcoming Matches
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J. Strnad
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