TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13071027
Played Sep 4Finished
Jiri Svec
Home
3.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
711118118911119
Petr Sudek
Away
1.29
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:20 and never touched — 71.9% is still 71.9%
Graded at full timePetr Sudek to win
71.9%
71.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJiri Svec above · Petr Sudek below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 96 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Petr Sudek at 71.9%
96 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Svec 1–2 Petr Sudek Jiri Svec has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:20What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Sudek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Svec 1299 vs Sudek 1294
Svec
Correct
both rated, 5 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Svec 80% vs Sudek 60%
Svec
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Svec 50% vs Sudek 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Svec +2 · Sudek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Sudek) · live re-read · sealed at 72% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sudek form (60%) is below what odds imply (78%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSvec 3.50 / Sudek 1.28
Signal prob.27% / 73%
Edge (Sudek)-0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13071027
Svec3.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog36% won 57 of 157
Down 0–1, comes back17% 14 of 84
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 55
Sudek1.28
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite50% won 15 of 30
Up 2–0, closes it91% 10 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it65% 13 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeSvec1wins
AwaySudek2wins
1 of 3 to a deciderSudek leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSvecn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwaySudek66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Svec0Sudek3n = 3Sudek took 3 of 3
S2Svec2Sudek1n = 3Svec took 2 of 3
S3Svec1Sudek2n = 3Sudek took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricSvecSudekSvec − SudekBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set03−3of 3Avg pointsper match36.341.7−5.4per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSvecSudekBasisWin rate · lifetime396 / 845 vs 85 / 17946.9%47.5%396 / 845 vs 85 / 179Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SudekSvec 3.50/Sudek 1.28
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
73.1%
Sudek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Svec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 4 · 07:00J. Svec—711119113P. Sudek—11881192
LSep 1 · 07:00J. Svec—10111161P. Sudek—12913113
LAug 4 · 08:00J. Svec—7870P. Sudek—1111113
J. Svec10
WSep 4 · 09:30J. Svec2.501111113Z. Drabek1.503770LSep 4 · 08:30J. Svec2.5012761182Z. Drabek1.501011115113WSep 4 · 06:00M. Chalupnicek1.6176111272J. Svec2.201111910113WSep 2 · 09:28L. Forman1.80812117102J. Svec1.911110711123LSep 2 · 08:00J. Svec1.9111117972J. Grohsgott1.80991111113WSep 2 · 07:30L. Forman1.91711118102J. Svec1.80116711123WSep 2 · 06:00J. Svec1.441111143D. Mutl2.6394120LSep 1 · 08:58J. Strnad1.50911118113J. Svec2.5011471162LSep 1 · 08:30J. Svec2.3812780J. Strnad1.531411113LSep 1 · 07:00J. Svec3.5010111161P. Sudek1.2812913113
P. Sudek10
LSep 4 · 09:00P. Sudek1.401191481M. Chalupnicek2.7581116113WSep 4 · 08:00M. Chalupnicek2.637101121P. Sudek1.4411125113LSep 4 · 06:30P. Sudek1.8011991192Z. Drabek1.91611117113WSep 1 · 09:28P. Sudek1.571111123M. Chalupnicek2.2545100LSep 1 · 08:00M. Chalupnicek2.251151011133P. Sudek1.57511126112WSep 1 · 07:00J. Svec3.5010111161P. Sudek1.2812913113WSep 1 · 06:30P. Sudek2.0081111143J. Strnad1.731189121LAug 6 · 13:00P. Sudek1.83411971J. Strnad1.8311411113LAug 6 · 12:00P. Sudek2.2079130J. Grohsgott1.611111153WAug 6 · 11:30Z. Drabek1.83915101292P. Sudek1.8311131210113
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