TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13052438
Played Sep 1Finished
Jiri Svec
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1214711811––––
Jaroslav Strnad 1964
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:09 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Strnad 1964 to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJiri Svec above · Jaroslav Strnad 1964 below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 63 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Jaroslav Strnad 1964 at 57.7%
63 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Svec 11–17 Jaroslav Strnad 1964 Jiri Svec has won 11 of their 28 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:09What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Strnad
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-17 in 28
Strnad
Correct
gap of 6 in 28, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Svec 1282 vs Strnad 1253
Svec
Wrong
both rated, 30 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Svec 40% vs Strnad 0%
Svec
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Svec 50% vs Strnad 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Svec -1 · Strnad -5
Strnad
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Strnad) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Strnad form (0%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSvec 2.38 / Strnad 1.53
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Strnad)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13052438
Svec2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog35% won 53 of 151
Down 0–1, comes back17% 14 of 84
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 57
Strnad1.53
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 127 of 220
Up 2–0, closes it94% 67 of 71
Up 1–0, closes it75% 101 of 135
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSvec3wins
AwayStrnad7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderStrnad leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSvec25%1 of 4
AwayStrnad66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Svec4Strnad6n = 10Strnad took 6 of 10
S2Svec5Strnad5n = 10split evenly
S3Svec4Strnad6n = 10Strnad took 6 of 10
S4Svec1Strnad5n = 6Strnad took 5 of 6
S5Svec1Strnad2n = 3Strnad took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricSvecStrnadSvec − StrnadBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.438.6−3.2per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSvecStrnadBasisWin rate · lifetime390 / 835 vs 522 / 107746.7%48.5%390 / 835 vs 522 / 1077Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StrnadSvec 2.38/Strnad 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.6%
Strnad · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Strnad won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 14 · 09:30J. Svec—1112991J. Strnad—81411113
WAug 14 · 08:30J. Svec—911157113J. Strnad—118131182
LAug 7 · 16:58J. Svec—115361J. Strnad—71111113
LAug 7 · 16:30J. Svec—2870J. Strnad—1111113
LAug 4 · 07:00J. Svec—141111792J. Strnad—164911113
WAug 2 · 13:09J. Svec—1112113J. Strnad—51080
LAug 2 · 11:00J. Svec—109130J. Strnad—1211153
WJul 17 · 11:30J. Svec—31112113J. Strnad—1131051
LApr 17 · 12:58J. Svec—11119752J. Strnad—641111113
LApr 17 · 12:00J. Svec—64100J. Strnad—1111123
J. Svec10
WSep 4 · 09:30J. Svec2.501111113Z. Drabek1.503770LSep 4 · 08:30J. Svec2.5012761182Z. Drabek1.501011115113WSep 4 · 07:00J. Svec3.50711119113P. Sudek1.2811881192WSep 4 · 06:00M. Chalupnicek1.6176111272J. Svec2.201111910113WSep 2 · 09:28L. Forman1.80812117102J. Svec1.911110711123LSep 2 · 08:00J. Svec1.9111117972J. Grohsgott1.80991111113WSep 2 · 07:30L. Forman1.91711118102J. Svec1.80116711123WSep 2 · 06:00J. Svec1.441111143D. Mutl2.6394120LSep 1 · 08:58J. Strnad1.50911118113J. Svec2.5011471162LSep 1 · 07:00J. Svec3.5010111161P. Sudek1.2812913113
J. Strnad10
LSep 6 · 02:59J. Strnad1.80471151V. Kosar1.9111119113LSep 6 · 02:00M. Novotny1.3311119123J. Strnad3.259811101LSep 6 · 24:30J. Strnad1.83811451M. Ulrych1.8311911113WSep 5 · 23:00J. Strnad2.251111123V. Kosar1.5765100WSep 5 · 22:00P. Berdych1.80611981J. Strnad1.9111911113LSep 5 · 12:59J. Strnad1.615930M. Barta2.201111113WSep 5 · 12:30J. Strnad1.5711117143M. Barta2.256811121LSep 5 · 11:00J. Strnad2.106760Z. Drabek1.671111113WSep 5 · 10:00Z. Zikmunda2.389790J. Strnad1.531111113WSep 1 · 08:58J. Strnad1.50911118113J. Svec2.5011471162
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.