TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13071809
Played Sep 4Finished
Jiri Svec
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1210711611115811
Zbynek Drabek
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:00 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJiri Svec to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJiri Svec above · Zbynek Drabek below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 92 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Jiri Svec at 54.0%
92 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Svec 0–2 Zbynek Drabek Jiri Svec has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:00What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Drabek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Svec 1292 vs Drabek 1336
Drabek
Correct
both rated, 44 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Svec 80% vs Drabek 40%
Svec
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Svec 60% vs Drabek 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Svec +3 · Drabek -1
Svec
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Drabek) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Drabek form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSvec 2.50 / Drabek 1.50
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Drabek)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13071809
Svec2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog35% won 54 of 153
Down 0–1, comes back16% 13 of 83
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 55
Drabek1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite58% won 22 of 38
Up 2–0, closes it90% 9 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it70% 14 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeSvec0wins
AwayDrabek2wins
1 of 2 to a deciderDrabek leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricSvecDrabekS − DBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match32.040.5−8.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSvecDrabekBasisWin rate · lifetime395 / 844 vs 39 / 7946.8%49.4%395 / 844 vs 39 / 79Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DrabekSvec 2.50/Drabek 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.3%
Drabek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Drabek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 4 · 08:30J. Svec—12761182Z. Drabek—1011115113
LApr 2 · 11:30J. Svec—8570Z. Drabek—1111113
J. Svec10
WSep 4 · 09:30J. Svec2.501111113Z. Drabek1.503770WSep 4 · 07:00J. Svec3.50711119113P. Sudek1.2811881192WSep 4 · 06:00M. Chalupnicek1.6176111272J. Svec2.201111910113WSep 2 · 09:28L. Forman1.80812117102J. Svec1.911110711123LSep 2 · 08:00J. Svec1.9111117972J. Grohsgott1.80991111113WSep 2 · 07:30L. Forman1.91711118102J. Svec1.80116711123WSep 2 · 06:00J. Svec1.441111143D. Mutl2.6394120LSep 1 · 08:58J. Strnad1.50911118113J. Svec2.5011471162LSep 1 · 08:30J. Svec2.3812780J. Strnad1.531411113LSep 1 · 07:00J. Svec3.5010111161P. Sudek1.2812913113
Z. Drabek10
WSep 5 · 13:28Z. Zikmunda1.8311971182Z. Drabek1.83811119113LSep 5 · 12:00Z. Zikmunda2.001111113Z. Drabek1.734650WSep 5 · 11:00J. Strnad2.106760Z. Drabek1.671111113WSep 5 · 10:30Z. Drabek1.30101111113M. Barta3.40126471WSep 5 · 09:28Z. Drabek1.735111011113Z. Zikmunda2.0011612792WSep 5 · 08:00Z. Drabek1.441111113M. Barta2.634870WSep 5 · 07:30Z. Zikmunda2.0091171482Z. Drabek1.731171112113WSep 5 · 06:00Z. Drabek2.2051114123M. Chalupnicek1.6111812101LSep 4 · 13:06M. Chalupnicek1.681113113Z. Drabek2.0581140LSep 4 · 09:30J. Svec2.501111113Z. Drabek1.503770
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