TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12366434
Played Aug 6Finished
Zbynek Drabek
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
911151310121210911
Petr Sudek
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:29 and never touched — 81.9% is still 81.9%
Graded at full timePetr Sudek to win
81.9%
81.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingZbynek Drabek above · Petr Sudek below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 15-13
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 112 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Petr Sudek at 81.9%
112 points played in total.
H2H Zbynek Drabek 0–1 Petr Sudek Zbynek Drabek has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:29What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Sudek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Drabek 1303 vs Sudek 1335
Sudek
Correct
both rated, 32 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Drabek 80% vs Sudek 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Drabek 40% vs Sudek 60%
Sudek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Drabek +3 · Sudek -1
Drabek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sudek) · live re-read · sealed at 82% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sudek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDrabek 1.83 / Sudek 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Sudek)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12366434
Drabek1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Sudek1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeDrabek0wins
AwaySudek1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderSudek leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricDrabekSudekD − SBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match55.057.0−2.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDrabekSudekBasisWin rate · lifetime31 / 66 vs 81 / 16947%47.9%31 / 66 vs 81 / 169Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SudekDrabek 1.83/Sudek 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Sudek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Sudek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 6 · 11:30Z. Drabek—915101292P. Sudek—11131210113
Z. Drabek10
WSep 5 · 13:28Z. Zikmunda1.8311971182Z. Drabek1.83811119113LSep 5 · 12:00Z. Zikmunda2.001111113Z. Drabek1.734650WSep 5 · 11:00J. Strnad2.106760Z. Drabek1.671111113WSep 5 · 10:30Z. Drabek1.30101111113M. Barta3.40126471WSep 5 · 09:28Z. Drabek1.735111011113Z. Zikmunda2.0011612792WSep 5 · 08:00Z. Drabek1.441111113M. Barta2.634870WSep 5 · 07:30Z. Zikmunda2.0091171482Z. Drabek1.731171112113WSep 5 · 06:00Z. Drabek2.2051114123M. Chalupnicek1.6111812101LSep 4 · 13:06M. Chalupnicek1.681113113Z. Drabek2.0581140LSep 4 · 12:00P. Kulhanek1.91411311113Z. Drabek1.8011911282
P. Sudek10
LSep 4 · 09:00P. Sudek1.401191481M. Chalupnicek2.7581116113WSep 4 · 08:00M. Chalupnicek2.637101121P. Sudek1.4411125113LSep 4 · 07:00J. Svec3.50711119113P. Sudek1.2811881192LSep 4 · 06:30P. Sudek1.8011991192Z. Drabek1.91611117113WSep 1 · 09:28P. Sudek1.571111123M. Chalupnicek2.2545100LSep 1 · 08:00M. Chalupnicek2.251151011133P. Sudek1.57511126112WSep 1 · 07:00J. Svec3.5010111161P. Sudek1.2812913113WSep 1 · 06:30P. Sudek2.0081111143J. Strnad1.731189121LAug 6 · 13:00P. Sudek1.83411971J. Strnad1.8311411113LAug 6 · 12:00P. Sudek2.2079130J. Grohsgott1.611111153
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