TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13092824
Played Sep 7Finished
Milan Chalupnicek
Home
1.30
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1141147111210––
Jiri Svec
Away
3.40
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingMilan Chalupnicek above · Jiri Svec below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 70 set 4, 12-10
70 points played in total.
H2H Milan Chalupnicek 44–31 Jiri Svec Jiri Svec has won 31 of their 75 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Chalupnicek beat Svec 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 74% — Strong (leans Chalupnicek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chalupnicek form (60%) is below what odds imply (77%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChalupnicek 1.30 / Svec 3.40
Signal prob.74% / 27%
Edge (Chalupnicek)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13092824
Chalupnicek1.30
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite59% won 58 of 98
Up 2–0, closes it96% 27 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it79% 34 of 43
Svec3.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog37% won 57 of 154
Down 0–1, comes back17% 14 of 81
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 52
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeChalupnicek5wins
AwaySvec5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChalupnicek50%2 of 4
AwaySvec50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chalupnicek4Svec6n = 10Svec took 6 of 10
S2Chalupnicek3Svec7n = 10Svec took 7 of 10
S3Chalupnicek7Svec3n = 10Chalupnicek took 7 of 10
S4Chalupnicek6Svec4n = 10Chalupnicek took 6 of 10
S5Chalupnicek2Svec2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricChalupnicekSvecC − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match42.942.4+0.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChalupnicekSvecBasisWin rate · lifetime327 / 662 vs 396 / 84849.4%46.7%327 / 662 vs 396 / 848Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChalupnicekChalupnicek 1.30/Svec 3.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.5%
Chalupnicek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Chalupnicek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 11:30M. Chalupnicek—1210169113J. Svec—1012141142
LSep 4 · 06:00M. Chalupnicek—76111272J. Svec—1111910113
LSep 1 · 06:00M. Chalupnicek—611451J. Svec—11811113
LAug 29 · 09:30M. Chalupnicek—5131191J. Svec—11159113
WAug 29 · 06:00M. Chalupnicek—9101111113J. Svec—11128642
WAug 14 · 07:00M. Chalupnicek—91511113J. Svec—1113481
WJul 30 · 10:00M. Chalupnicek—111211113J. Svec—514581
LJul 17 · 12:30M. Chalupnicek—118491J. Svec—41111113
WJul 15 · 07:30M. Chalupnicek—61111113J. Svec—117991
LMay 29 · 13:00M. Chalupnicek—1110811102J. Svec—812119123
M. Chalupnicek10
WSep 7 · 12:00M. Chalupnicek1.6111611113P. Kulhanek2.20611381WSep 7 · 11:30J. Svec2.101012141142M. Chalupnicek1.671210169113LSep 7 · 10:00M. Chalupnicek2.208480J. Strnad1.611111113WSep 5 · 08:59M. Chalupnicek1.44111128113M. Barta2.6374111122LSep 5 · 08:30M. Chalupnicek1.6171113682Z. Zikmunda2.201171111113WSep 5 · 07:00M. Chalupnicek1.5711118113M. Barta2.25331171LSep 5 · 06:00Z. Drabek2.2051114123M. Chalupnicek1.6111812101WSep 4 · 13:06M. Chalupnicek1.681113113Z. Drabek2.0581140LSep 4 · 12:30J. Strnad1.571011711113M. Chalupnicek2.2512611752WSep 4 · 11:30M. Chalupnicek1.801111113P. Kulhanek1.916960
J. Svec10
LSep 7 · 12:30J. Strnad1.2210131110113J. Svec4.00121151272LSep 7 · 11:30J. Svec2.101012141142M. Chalupnicek1.671210169113LSep 7 · 10:30P. Kulhanek1.4411138113J. Svec2.637111161WSep 4 · 09:30J. Svec2.501111113Z. Drabek1.503770LSep 4 · 08:30J. Svec2.5012761182Z. Drabek1.501011115113WSep 4 · 07:00J. Svec3.50711119113P. Sudek1.2811881192WSep 4 · 06:00M. Chalupnicek1.6176111272J. Svec2.201111910113WSep 2 · 09:28L. Forman1.80812117102J. Svec1.911110711123LSep 2 · 08:00J. Svec1.9111117972J. Grohsgott1.80991111113WSep 2 · 07:30L. Forman1.91711118102J. Svec1.80116711123
Upcoming Matches
M. Chalupnicek
Nothing scheduled
J. Svec
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