TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13092868
Played Sep 7Finished
Pavel Kulhanek
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
91112101315411––
Jaroslav Strnad 1964
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:27 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePavel Kulhanek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingPavel Kulhanek above · Jaroslav Strnad 1964 below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 13-15
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 85 set 4, 4-11 — our read held Pavel Kulhanek at 54.0%
85 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Kulhanek 20–27 Jaroslav Strnad 1964 Pavel Kulhanek has won 20 of their 47 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Kulhanek beat Strnad 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:27What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kulhanek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-27 in 47
Strnad
Correct
gap of 7 in 47, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kulhanek 1324 vs Strnad 1356
Strnad
Correct
both rated, 32 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kulhanek 60% vs Strnad 40%
Kulhanek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kulhanek 60% vs Strnad 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kulhanek -1 · Strnad +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kulhanek)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKulhanek 1.73 / Strnad 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kulhanek)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13092868
Kulhanek1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite71% won 54 of 76
Up 2–0, closes it94% 29 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it83% 35 of 42
Strnad2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 97 of 249
Down 0–1, comes back21% 29 of 141
Down 0–2, comes back7% 6 of 84
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKulhanek7wins
AwayStrnad3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKulhanek leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKulhanek100%4 of 4
AwayStrnad50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kulhanek4Strnad6n = 10Strnad took 6 of 10
S2Kulhanek5Strnad5n = 10split evenly
S3Kulhanek5Strnad5n = 10split evenly
S4Kulhanek5Strnad2n = 7Kulhanek took 5 of 7
S5Kulhanek4Strnad0n = 4Kulhanek took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKulhanekStrnadK − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.538.0+1.5per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKulhanekStrnadBasisWin rate · lifetime226 / 420 vs 538 / 110553.8%48.7%226 / 420 vs 538 / 1105Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.937.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KulhanekKulhanek 1.73/Strnad 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kulhanek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Strnad won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 7 · 13:30P. Kulhanek—9121341J. Strnad—111015113
WSep 7 · 11:00P. Kulhanek—1111113J. Strnad—5870
LSep 4 · 13:30P. Kulhanek—4111111J. Strnad—11119133
WSep 4 · 10:00P. Kulhanek—811711113J. Strnad—11711562
WSep 2 · 23:30P. Kulhanek—9111111133J. Strnad—111357112
LAug 21 · 23:00P. Kulhanek—6460J. Strnad—1111113
WAug 20 · 11:00P. Kulhanek—11411113J. Strnad—511691
WAug 7 · 02:00P. Kulhanek—119713113J. Strnad—611111172
WAug 3 · 17:30P. Kulhanek—1111133J. Strnad—96110
WAug 3 · 14:00P. Kulhanek—9111311113J. Strnad—11815482
P. Kulhanek10
LSep 7 · 12:00M. Chalupnicek1.6111611113P. Kulhanek2.20611381WSep 7 · 11:00J. Strnad1.805870P. Kulhanek1.911111113WSep 7 · 10:30P. Kulhanek1.4411138113J. Svec2.637111161LSep 4 · 13:30J. Strnad1.8511119133P. Kulhanek1.854111111WSep 4 · 12:00P. Kulhanek1.91411311113Z. Drabek1.8011911282LSep 4 · 11:30M. Chalupnicek1.801111113P. Kulhanek1.916960WSep 4 · 10:00P. Kulhanek1.80811711113J. Strnad1.9111711562LSep 3 · 03:28P. Kulhanek2.2591112842M. Syroha1.571181011113WSep 3 · 01:30P. Kulhanek2.0014113113J. Framberk1.731291171WSep 3 · 24:30M. Syroha1.57119811102P. Kulhanek2.25411118123
J. Strnad10
WSep 7 · 12:30J. Strnad1.2210131110113J. Svec4.00121151272LSep 7 · 11:00J. Strnad1.805870P. Kulhanek1.911111113WSep 7 · 10:00M. Chalupnicek2.208480J. Strnad1.611111113LSep 6 · 02:59J. Strnad1.80471151V. Kosar1.9111119113LSep 6 · 02:00M. Novotny1.3311119123J. Strnad3.259811101LSep 6 · 24:30J. Strnad1.83811451M. Ulrych1.8311911113WSep 5 · 23:00J. Strnad2.251111123V. Kosar1.5765100WSep 5 · 22:00P. Berdych1.80611981J. Strnad1.9111911113WSep 4 · 13:30J. Strnad1.8511119133P. Kulhanek1.854111111LSep 4 · 10:00P. Kulhanek1.80811711113J. Strnad1.9111711562
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