TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13020128
Played Aug 27Finished
Jiri Grohsgott
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811711811––––
Jan Potensky
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:17 and never touched — 57.0% is still 57.0%
Graded at full timeJiri Grohsgott to win
57.0%
57.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJiri Grohsgott above · Jan Potensky below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 56 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Jiri Grohsgott at 57.0%
56 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Grohsgott 28–29 Jan Potensky Jiri Grohsgott has won 28 of their 57 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:17What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Grohsgott
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
28-29 in 57
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Grohsgott 1180 vs Potensky 1195
Potensky
Correct
both rated, 15 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Grohsgott 80% vs Potensky 60%
Grohsgott
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Grohsgott 70% vs Potensky 40%
Grohsgott
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Grohsgott +3 · Potensky +2
Grohsgott
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Grohsgott) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Potensky form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGrohsgott 1.67 / Potensky 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Grohsgott)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13020128
Grohsgott1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite64% won 152 of 238
Up 2–0, closes it97% 83 of 86
Up 1–0, closes it82% 112 of 136
Potensky2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog42% won 50 of 119
Down 0–1, comes back18% 11 of 60
Down 0–2, comes back8% 3 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGrohsgott8wins
AwayPotensky2wins
1 of 10 to a deciderGrohsgott leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGrohsgott100%5 of 5
AwayPotensky40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Grohsgott5Potensky5n = 10split evenly
S2Grohsgott8Potensky2n = 10Grohsgott took 8 of 10
S3Grohsgott9Potensky1n = 10Grohsgott took 9 of 10
S4Grohsgott5Potensky2n = 7Grohsgott took 5 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricGrohsgottPotenskyG − PBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.128.4+8.7per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGrohsgottPotenskyBasisWin rate · lifetime751 / 1545 vs 230 / 48348.6%47.6%751 / 1545 vs 230 / 483Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.235.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GrohsgottGrohsgott 1.67/Potensky 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.2%
Grohsgott · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Potensky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 24 · 08:00J. Grohsgott—71211113J. Potensky—1110451
WAug 11 · 09:06J. Grohsgott—41111113J. Potensky—115971
LAug 11 · 06:00J. Grohsgott—31111892J. Potensky—114611113
LAug 6 · 07:30J. Grohsgott—611861J. Potensky—11511113
WJul 29 · 03:30J. Grohsgott—81111113J. Potensky—115751
WJul 29 · 01:00J. Grohsgott—1111113J. Potensky—9950
WJul 26 · 23:30J. Grohsgott—1111113J. Potensky—6720
WJul 24 · 02:30J. Grohsgott—11811113J. Potensky—211291
WJul 20 · 02:59J. Grohsgott—1111113J. Potensky—9980
WJul 20 · 02:00J. Grohsgott—11611113J. Potensky—411551
J. Grohsgott10
LSep 5 · 17:30J. Grohsgott3.00101511642M. Regner1.341213811113LSep 5 · 16:30M. Regner1.25812118113J. Grohsgott3.75111071172WSep 5 · 15:30J. Grohsgott1.671111133V. Stach2.1038110WSep 5 · 14:30M. Syroha1.91911111092J. Grohsgott1.80113912113LSep 5 · 13:00J. Grohsgott1.959530L. Havrda1.751111113LSep 5 · 12:30L. Havrda1.831111113J. Grohsgott1.838750LSep 5 · 11:30J. Grohsgott1.809119111M. Syroha1.9111811133WSep 5 · 10:30V. Stach2.1011470J. Grohsgott1.671311113LSep 4 · 03:30J. Grohsgott2.1091111862M. Vaclavik1.65119911113WSep 4 · 01:30J. Grohsgott1.671111113A. Hejduk2.106880
J. Potensky10
LAug 31 · 03:00J. Potensky1.6011391192A. Hejduk2.20411119113LAug 31 · 02:30J. Potensky2.00951141M. Vaclavik1.7311119113WAug 31 · 01:30D. Mutl1.91811771J. Potensky1.8011511113WAug 31 · 24:00J. Potensky1.53111143163A. Hejduk2.38751111142LAug 30 · 23:00J. Grohsgott1.83111110113J. Potensky1.83951261WAug 27 · 09:30J. Potensky1.8371111113J. Grohsgott1.83117331WAug 27 · 07:00V. Stach1.91811781J. Potensky1.8011511113WAug 27 · 06:30J. Potensky1.5751211113A. Hejduk2.251110671LAug 24 · 09:28J. Svec1.8311514113J. Potensky1.834111251LAug 24 · 08:00J. Grohsgott1.6771211113J. Potensky2.101110451
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