TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13020621
Played Aug 27Finished
Vojtech Stach
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811115711811––
Jan Potensky
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:59 and never touched — 54.6% is still 54.6%
Graded at full timeVojtech Stach to win
54.6%
54.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingVojtech Stach above · Jan Potensky below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 72 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Vojtech Stach at 54.6%
72 points played in total.
H2H Vojtech Stach 1–1 Jan Potensky Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:59What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Potensky
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Stach 1256 vs Potensky 1218
Stach
Wrong
both rated, 38 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stach 40% vs Potensky 60%
Potensky
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stach 50% vs Potensky 30%
Stach
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Stach -1 · Potensky +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Stach) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stach form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStach 1.91 / Potensky 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Stach)+5.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13020621
Stach1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog53% won 16 of 30
Down 0–1, comes back14% 2 of 14
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 8
Potensky1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite56% won 62 of 111
Up 2–0, closes it95% 39 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it89% 47 of 53
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeStach1wins
AwayPotensky1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricStachPotenskyS − PBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match41.543.5−2.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStachPotenskyBasisWin rate · lifetime64 / 122 vs 232 / 48552.5%47.8%64 / 122 vs 232 / 485Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.135.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StachStach 1.91/Potensky 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Stach · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Potensky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 27 · 07:00V. Stach—811781J. Potensky—11511113
WAug 21 · 23:00V. Stach—111177133J. Potensky—971111112
V. Stach10
WSep 5 · 17:03M. Syroha1.514670V. Stach2.401111113WSep 5 · 16:00V. Stach2.6351112123M. Syroha1.4411810101LSep 5 · 15:30J. Grohsgott1.671111133V. Stach2.1038110LSep 5 · 14:00V. Stach2.509790M. Regner1.501111113WSep 5 · 13:30M. Syroha2.2561141182V. Stach1.57118118113LSep 5 · 12:00M. Syroha1.441114126113V. Stach2.63512141112WSep 5 · 11:00L. Havrda1.5728100V. Stach2.251111123LSep 5 · 10:30V. Stach2.1011470J. Grohsgott1.671311113LAug 30 · 03:30L. Havrda1.851111113V. Stach1.856380WAug 30 · 02:00J. Grohsgott1.671411461V. Stach2.1016511113
J. Potensky10
LAug 31 · 03:00J. Potensky1.6011391192A. Hejduk2.20411119113LAug 31 · 02:30J. Potensky2.00951141M. Vaclavik1.7311119113WAug 31 · 01:30D. Mutl1.91811771J. Potensky1.8011511113WAug 31 · 24:00J. Potensky1.53111143163A. Hejduk2.38751111142LAug 30 · 23:00J. Grohsgott1.83111110113J. Potensky1.83951261WAug 27 · 09:30J. Potensky1.8371111113J. Grohsgott1.83117331WAug 27 · 08:00J. Grohsgott1.678780J. Potensky2.101111113WAug 27 · 06:30J. Potensky1.5751211113A. Hejduk2.251110671LAug 24 · 09:28J. Svec1.8311514113J. Potensky1.834111251LAug 24 · 08:00J. Grohsgott1.6771211113J. Potensky2.101110451
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.