Jaromir Cernik vs Jaroslav Strnad 1961 3-1

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga ProMatch #13058080

Played Sep 1Finished

Jaromir Cernik

Home

1.53

At publish

Lost last 4

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Lost last 4

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

811113118119––

Jaroslav Strnad 1961

Away

2.38

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Lost last 2

How it is goingJaromir Cernik above · Jaroslav Strnad 1961 below

Set 1 · 8-11

Set 2 · 11-3

Set 3 · 11-8

Set 4 · 11-9

Point 72 set 4, 11-9

72 points played in total.

H2H Jaromir Cernik 32–12 Jaroslav Strnad 1961 Jaroslav Strnad 1961 has won 12 of their 44 meetings.

Last 10 · 7–3Same sideHead to head

Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Cernik)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Cernik form (20%) is below what odds imply (65%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsCernik 1.53 / Strnad 2.38

Signal prob.62% / 39%

Edge (Cernik)+0.7pp

Czech Liga Pro · #13058080

Cernik1.53

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 4

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite59% won 60 of 101

Up 2–0, closes it92% 36 of 39

Up 1–0, closes it79% 44 of 56

Strnad2.38

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog30% won 23 of 77

Down 0–1, comes back19% 10 of 54

Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 29

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeCernik7wins

AwayStrnad3wins

2 of 10 to a deciderCernik leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeCernik100%3 of 3

AwayStrnad42.9%3 of 7

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Cernik3Strnad7n = 10Strnad took 7 of 10

S2Cernik6Strnad4n = 10Cernik took 6 of 10

S3Cernik10Strnad0n = 10Cernik took 10 of 10

S4Cernik5Strnad3n = 8Cernik took 5 of 8

Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home220%

3–1Four sets, home440%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away110%

1–3Four sets, away220%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 10 meetings

MetricCernikStrnadC − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match41.334.9+6.4per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricCernikStrnadBasisWin rate · lifetime366 / 803 vs 157 / 37245.6%42.2%366 / 803 vs 157 / 372Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.635.6per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Cernik

Cernik 1.53/Strnad 2.38

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

61.5%

Cernik · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Cernik won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

WSep 1 · 08:00J. Cernik—1111113J. Strnad—8380

LAug 28 · 12:00J. Cernik—961171J. Strnad—11112113

WJul 22 · 10:30J. Cernik—11611113J. Strnad—911631

WJun 30 · 13:00J. Cernik—81111113J. Strnad—112991

WJun 30 · 12:30J. Cernik—121112113J. Strnad—1461041

WJun 9 · 12:00J. Cernik—81111113J. Strnad—113571

WMay 7 · 10:30J. Cernik—1411113J. Strnad—12490

LApr 16 · 07:30J. Cernik—6911141J. Strnad—11119163

WDec 28 · 13:30J. Cernik—991112113J. Strnad—111161072

LDec 27 · 07:30J. Cernik—3111512112J. Strnad—1171314133

J. Cernik10

LSep 4 · 03:01A. Hejduk1.631112113J. Cernik2.1341030 WSep 4 · 02:00J. Strnad3.00161013972J. Cernik1.3614121111113 LSep 4 · 24:30J. Cernik3.4081310J. Grohsgott1.301115113 LSep 3 · 23:00J. Cernik1.915770A. Hejduk1.801111113 LSep 3 · 22:00M. Vaclavik1.401111133J. Cernik2.7585110 LSep 1 · 13:30Z. Kasinski1.401111113J. Cernik2.759670 WSep 1 · 12:00C. Havrda2.509540J. Cernik1.501111113 LSep 1 · 11:00Z. Kasinski1.801111113J. Cernik1.918860 WSep 1 · 10:30J. Cernik2.001611113A. Hejduk1.7314850 WSep 1 · 08:00J. Cernik1.441111113J. Strnad2.638380

J. Strnad10

LSep 4 · 02:00J. Strnad3.00161013972J. Cernik1.3614121111113 LSep 4 · 01:00J. Strnad1.8339130M. Vaclavik1.831111153 LSep 4 · 24:00A. Hejduk1.331211113J. Strnad3.2510830 LSep 3 · 22:30J. Grohsgott1.201111113J. Strnad4.334460 WSep 3 · 08:58M. Smesny1.30116771J. Strnad3.4081111113 LSep 3 · 08:30J. Strnad3.2552100M. Smesny1.331111123 LSep 3 · 07:00J. Strnad2.75481161M. Vrabec1.4011116113 LSep 3 · 06:00L. Novotny1.5711117113J. Strnad2.25541151 LSep 1 · 08:00J. Cernik1.441111113J. Strnad2.638380 LSep 1 · 07:00L. Novotny1.671111113J. Strnad2.106580

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