TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13065205
Played Sep 3Finished
Jiri Grohsgott
Home
1.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
114114116––––
Jaroslav Strnad 1961
Away
4.33
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:33 and never touched — 80.1% is still 80.1%
Graded at full timeJiri Grohsgott to win
80.1%
80.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJiri Grohsgott above · Jaroslav Strnad 1961 below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 47 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Jiri Grohsgott at 80.1%
47 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Grohsgott 34–3 Jaroslav Strnad 1961 Jaroslav Strnad 1961 has won 3 of their 37 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:33What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.20 (78%)
Grohsgott
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
34-3 in 37
Grohsgott
Correct
gap of 31 in 37, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Grohsgott 1224 vs Strnad 1089
Grohsgott
Correct
both rated, 135 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Grohsgott 60% vs Strnad 20%
Grohsgott
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Grohsgott 70% vs Strnad 30%
Grohsgott
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Grohsgott -1 · Strnad +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 83% — Strong (leans Grohsgott) · live re-read · sealed at 80% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Grohsgott form (60%) is below what odds imply (83%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGrohsgott 1.20 / Strnad 4.33
Signal prob.83% / 17%
Edge (Grohsgott)+4.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13065205
Grohsgott1.20
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 157 of 245
Up 2–0, closes it96% 89 of 93
Up 1–0, closes it82% 116 of 142
Strnad4.33
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog28% won 23 of 81
Down 0–1, comes back18% 10 of 56
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 31
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGrohsgott10wins
AwayStrnad0wins
1 of 10 to a deciderGrohsgott leads 10–0, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGrohsgott100%9 of 9
AwayStrnadn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Grohsgott9Strnad1n = 10Grohsgott took 9 of 10
S2Grohsgott7Strnad3n = 10Grohsgott took 7 of 10
S3Grohsgott9Strnad1n = 10Grohsgott took 9 of 10
S4Grohsgott4Strnad1n = 5Grohsgott took 4 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricGrohsgottStrnadG − SBasisWins100+10in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match38.726.8+11.9per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGrohsgottStrnadBasisWin rate · lifetime751 / 1540 vs 155 / 36548.8%42.5%751 / 1540 vs 155 / 365Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.235.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GrohsgottGrohsgott 1.20/Strnad 4.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
82.6%
Grohsgott · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Grohsgott won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJan 12 · 08:30J. Grohsgott—111011123J. Strnad—7127101
WJan 10 · 17:30J. Grohsgott—91111793J. Strnad—11981152
WJan 10 · 07:00J. Grohsgott—11118113J. Strnad—941171
WOct 7 · 06:00J. Grohsgott—1111113J. Strnad—2730
WSep 15 · 12:30J. Grohsgott—1112123J. Strnad—710100
WMay 28 · 01:30J. Grohsgott—1111113J. Strnad—8940
WMay 25 · 15:30J. Grohsgott—111111113J. Strnad—913641
WApr 29 · 08:30J. Grohsgott—11814113J. Strnad—6111241
WApr 24 · 06:00J. Grohsgott—1111113J. Strnad—3440
WApr 23 · 12:00J. Grohsgott—1111113J. Strnad—9660
J. Grohsgott10
LSep 5 · 17:30J. Grohsgott3.00101511642M. Regner1.341213811113LSep 5 · 16:30M. Regner1.25812118113J. Grohsgott3.75111071172WSep 5 · 15:30J. Grohsgott1.671111133V. Stach2.1038110WSep 5 · 14:30M. Syroha1.91911111092J. Grohsgott1.80113912113LSep 5 · 13:00J. Grohsgott1.959530L. Havrda1.751111113LSep 5 · 12:30L. Havrda1.831111113J. Grohsgott1.838750LSep 5 · 11:30J. Grohsgott1.809119111M. Syroha1.9111811133WSep 5 · 10:30V. Stach2.1011470J. Grohsgott1.671311113LSep 4 · 03:30J. Grohsgott2.1091111862M. Vaclavik1.65119911113WSep 4 · 01:30J. Grohsgott1.671111113A. Hejduk2.106880
J. Strnad10
LSep 4 · 02:00J. Strnad3.00161013972J. Cernik1.3614121111113LSep 4 · 01:00J. Strnad1.8339130M. Vaclavik1.831111153LSep 4 · 24:00A. Hejduk1.331211113J. Strnad3.2510830WSep 3 · 08:58M. Smesny1.30116771J. Strnad3.4081111113LSep 3 · 08:30J. Strnad3.2552100M. Smesny1.331111123LSep 3 · 07:00J. Strnad2.75481161M. Vrabec1.4011116113LSep 3 · 06:00L. Novotny1.5711117113J. Strnad2.25541151LSep 1 · 09:03J. Cernik1.5381111113J. Strnad2.38113891LSep 1 · 08:00J. Cernik1.441111113J. Strnad2.638380LSep 1 · 07:00L. Novotny1.671111113J. Strnad2.106580
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