TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13065127
Played Sep 4Finished
Alexander Hejduk
Home
1.33
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1210118113––––
Jaroslav Strnad 1961
Away
3.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:34 and never touched — 68.5% is still 68.5%
Graded at full timeAlexander Hejduk to win
68.5%
68.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAlexander Hejduk above · Jaroslav Strnad 1961 below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-3
Point 55 set 3, 11-3 — our read held Alexander Hejduk at 68.5%
55 points played in total.
H2H Alexander Hejduk 4–3 Jaroslav Strnad 1961 Jaroslav Strnad 1961 has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:34What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Hejduk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-3 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hejduk 1085 vs Strnad 1080
Hejduk
Correct
both rated, 5 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hejduk 40% vs Strnad 20%
Hejduk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hejduk 40% vs Strnad 20%
Hejduk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hejduk +2 · Strnad -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Hejduk) · live re-read · sealed at 69% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Strnad form (20%) is below what odds imply (31%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHejduk 1.33 / Strnad 3.25
Signal prob.71% / 29%
Edge (Hejduk)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13065127
Hejduk1.33
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite53% won 40 of 75
Up 2–0, closes it91% 21 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it83% 29 of 35
Strnad3.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog28% won 23 of 81
Down 0–1, comes back18% 10 of 56
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 31
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeHejduk4wins
AwayStrnad3wins
2 of 7 to a deciderHejduk leads 4–3, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHejduk80%4 of 5
AwayStrnadn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hejduk5Strnad2n = 7Hejduk took 5 of 7
S2Hejduk6Strnad1n = 7Hejduk took 6 of 7
S3Hejduk3Strnad4n = 7Strnad took 4 of 7
S4Hejduk3Strnad2n = 5Hejduk took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home229%
3–1Four sets, home229%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away229%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricHejdukStrnadH − SBasisWins43+1in 7 meetingsFirst set52+3of 7Avg pointsper match39.437.6+1.8per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHejdukStrnadBasisWin rate · lifetime193 / 420 vs 155 / 36646%42.4%193 / 420 vs 155 / 366Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.935.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HejdukHejduk 1.33/Strnad 3.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
71.3%
Hejduk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Hejduk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WAug 10 · 09:28A. Hejduk—11116113J. Strnad—871141
WAug 10 · 07:30A. Hejduk—1111113J. Strnad—7590
LJan 12 · 09:30A. Hejduk—981251J. Strnad—111110113
LJan 5 · 10:30A. Hejduk—31161282J. Strnad—1191110113
LJan 5 · 08:00A. Hejduk—111187102J. Strnad—781111123
WDec 27 · 09:30A. Hejduk—1111113J. Strnad—7960
WDec 21 · 09:30A. Hejduk—13169123J. Strnad—111411101
A. Hejduk10
LSep 7 · 07:30A. Hejduk2.20117881D. Mutl1.6191111113LSep 7 · 06:30J. Srba2.3811116113A. Hejduk1.53721171WSep 4 · 03:01A. Hejduk1.631112113J. Cernik2.1341030LSep 4 · 02:30A. Hejduk2.506790M. Vaclavik1.501111113LSep 4 · 01:30J. Grohsgott1.671111113A. Hejduk2.106880WSep 3 · 23:00J. Cernik1.915770A. Hejduk1.801111113WSep 1 · 12:59C. Havrda3.759780A. Hejduk1.251111113LSep 1 · 12:30Z. Kasinski1.67114511113A. Hejduk2.1081111562LSep 1 · 11:30A. Hejduk1.2071111772C. Havrda4.33116411113LSep 1 · 10:30J. Cernik2.001611113A. Hejduk1.7314850
J. Strnad10
LSep 4 · 02:00J. Strnad3.00161013972J. Cernik1.3614121111113LSep 4 · 01:00J. Strnad1.8339130M. Vaclavik1.831111153LSep 3 · 22:30J. Grohsgott1.201111113J. Strnad4.334460WSep 3 · 08:58M. Smesny1.30116771J. Strnad3.4081111113LSep 3 · 08:30J. Strnad3.2552100M. Smesny1.331111123LSep 3 · 07:00J. Strnad2.75481161M. Vrabec1.4011116113LSep 3 · 06:00L. Novotny1.5711117113J. Strnad2.25541151LSep 1 · 09:03J. Cernik1.5381111113J. Strnad2.38113891LSep 1 · 08:00J. Cernik1.441111113J. Strnad2.638380LSep 1 · 07:00L. Novotny1.671111113J. Strnad2.106580
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