TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13064059
Played Sep 3Finished
Jaromir Cernik
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511711711––––
Alexander Hejduk
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:28 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJaromir Cernik to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJaromir Cernik above · Alexander Hejduk below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 52 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Jaromir Cernik at 54.0%
52 points played in total.
H2H Jaromir Cernik 16–17 Alexander Hejduk Jaromir Cernik has won 16 of their 33 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:28What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Hejduk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-17 in 33
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Cernik 1110 vs Hejduk 1069
Cernik
Wrong
both rated, 41 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cernik 40% vs Hejduk 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cernik 40% vs Hejduk 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Cernik -2 · Hejduk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Hejduk) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hejduk form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCernik 1.91 / Hejduk 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Hejduk)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13064059
Cernik1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog29% won 46 of 160
Down 0–1, comes back17% 16 of 96
Down 0–2, comes back10% 7 of 67
Hejduk1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite53% won 40 of 75
Up 2–0, closes it91% 21 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it83% 29 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeCernik5wins
AwayHejduk5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCernik66.7%4 of 6
AwayHejduk75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cernik6Hejduk4n = 10Cernik took 6 of 10
S2Cernik3Hejduk7n = 10Hejduk took 7 of 10
S3Cernik4Hejduk6n = 10Hejduk took 6 of 10
S4Cernik5Hejduk3n = 8Cernik took 5 of 8
S5Cernik2Hejduk1n = 3Cernik took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricCernikHejdukC − HBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.436.7−0.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCernikHejdukBasisWin rate · lifetime370 / 810 vs 195 / 42345.7%46.1%370 / 810 vs 195 / 423Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.636.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HejdukCernik 1.91/Hejduk 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Hejduk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Hejduk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 17 · 08:30J. Cernik—11511113A. Hejduk—911861
WJul 27 · 02:00J. Cernik—113712123A. Hejduk—3111110102
WJul 23 · 22:30J. Cernik—111811153A. Hejduk—116115132
LJun 12 · 03:00J. Cernik—86111192A. Hejduk—111163113
WJun 12 · 01:30J. Cernik—11411113A. Hejduk—711141
LJun 2 · 08:00J. Cernik—811691A. Hejduk—11311113
WMay 7 · 08:58J. Cernik—1112113A. Hejduk—91060
LMay 7 · 07:00J. Cernik—6770A. Hejduk—1111113
LApr 13 · 02:00J. Cernik—1191091A. Hejduk—81112113
LMar 31 · 06:30J. Cernik—114381A. Hejduk—81111113
J. Cernik10
LSep 4 · 03:01A. Hejduk1.631112113J. Cernik2.1341030WSep 4 · 02:00J. Strnad3.00161013972J. Cernik1.3614121111113LSep 4 · 24:30J. Cernik3.4081310J. Grohsgott1.301115113LSep 3 · 22:00M. Vaclavik1.401111133J. Cernik2.7585110LSep 1 · 13:30Z. Kasinski1.401111113J. Cernik2.759670WSep 1 · 12:00C. Havrda2.509540J. Cernik1.501111113LSep 1 · 11:00Z. Kasinski1.801111113J. Cernik1.918860WSep 1 · 10:30J. Cernik2.001611113A. Hejduk1.7314850WSep 1 · 09:03J. Cernik1.5381111113J. Strnad2.38113891WSep 1 · 08:00J. Cernik1.441111113J. Strnad2.638380
A. Hejduk10
LSep 7 · 07:30A. Hejduk2.20117881D. Mutl1.6191111113LSep 7 · 06:30J. Srba2.3811116113A. Hejduk1.53721171WSep 4 · 03:01A. Hejduk1.631112113J. Cernik2.1341030LSep 4 · 02:30A. Hejduk2.506790M. Vaclavik1.501111113LSep 4 · 01:30J. Grohsgott1.671111113A. Hejduk2.106880WSep 4 · 24:00A. Hejduk1.331211113J. Strnad3.2510830WSep 1 · 12:59C. Havrda3.759780A. Hejduk1.251111113LSep 1 · 12:30Z. Kasinski1.67114511113A. Hejduk2.1081111562LSep 1 · 11:30A. Hejduk1.2071111772C. Havrda4.33116411113LSep 1 · 10:30J. Cernik2.001611113A. Hejduk1.7314850
Upcoming Matches
J. Cernik
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A. Hejduk
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