TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13058968
Played Sep 1Finished
Zdenek Kasinski
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119116117––––
Jaromir Cernik
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:04 and never touched — 57.4% is still 57.4%
Graded at full timeJaromir Cernik to win
57.4%
57.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingZdenek Kasinski above · Jaromir Cernik below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 55 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Jaromir Cernik at 57.4%
55 points played in total.
H2H Zdenek Kasinski 3–4 Jaromir Cernik Zdenek Kasinski has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:04What took a side0 for · 3 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Kasinski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-4 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kasinski 1195 vs Cernik 1119
Kasinski
Correct
both rated, 76 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kasinski 80% vs Cernik 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kasinski 40% vs Cernik 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kasinski +4 · Cernik +1
Kasinski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Kasinski) · live re-read · sealed at 43% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cernik form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKasinski 1.40 / Cernik 2.75
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Kasinski)-0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13058968
Kasinski1.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite22% won 5 of 23
Up 2–0, closes it67% 4 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it42% 5 of 12
Cernik2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog29% won 46 of 157
Down 0–1, comes back18% 17 of 95
Down 0–2, comes back11% 7 of 65
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeKasinski3wins
AwayCernik4wins
1 of 7 to a deciderCernik leads 4–3, and 1 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKasinski75%3 of 4
AwayCernik100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kasinski4Cernik3n = 7Kasinski took 4 of 7
S2Kasinski4Cernik3n = 7Kasinski took 4 of 7
S3Kasinski4Cernik3n = 7Kasinski took 4 of 7
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home343%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away229%
These 7 meetings
MetricKasinskiCernikK − CBasisWins34−1in 7 meetingsFirst set43+1of 7Avg pointsper match30.731.4−0.7per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKasinskiCernikBasisWin rate · lifetime76 / 164 vs 370 / 80946.3%45.7%76 / 164 vs 370 / 809Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.536.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KasinskiKasinski 1.40/Cernik 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.9%
Kasinski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kasinski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WSep 1 · 13:30Z. Kasinski—1111113J. Cernik—9670
WSep 1 · 11:00Z. Kasinski—1111113J. Cernik—8860
WAug 28 · 13:00Z. Kasinski—1211113J. Cernik—10650
LAug 28 · 11:00Z. Kasinski—121210852J. Cernik—10101211113
LAug 17 · 13:00Z. Kasinski—891191J. Cernik—11112113
LAug 17 · 11:00Z. Kasinski—3330J. Cernik—1111113
LAug 15 · 08:30Z. Kasinski—8950J. Cernik—1111113
Z. Kasinski10
WSep 1 · 12:30Z. Kasinski1.67114511113A. Hejduk2.1081111562WSep 1 · 11:00Z. Kasinski1.801111113J. Cernik1.918860WSep 1 · 10:00C. Havrda2.209111081Z. Kasinski1.6111712113WAug 28 · 13:00J. Cernik2.0010650Z. Kasinski1.731211113LAug 28 · 12:30Z. Kasinski1.53115551L. Novotny2.3891111113LAug 28 · 11:00Z. Kasinski1.73121210852J. Cernik2.0010101211113LAug 28 · 10:00J. Strnad2.6361111113Z. Kasinski1.44114871LAug 17 · 13:00J. Cernik2.0011112113Z. Kasinski1.73891191LAug 17 · 12:30Z. Kasinski1.731191591V. Sr2.0081117113LAug 17 · 11:00Z. Kasinski1.573330J. Cernik2.251111113
J. Cernik10
LSep 4 · 03:01A. Hejduk1.631112113J. Cernik2.1341030WSep 4 · 02:00J. Strnad3.00161013972J. Cernik1.3614121111113LSep 4 · 24:30J. Cernik3.4081310J. Grohsgott1.301115113LSep 3 · 23:00J. Cernik1.915770A. Hejduk1.801111113LSep 3 · 22:00M. Vaclavik1.401111133J. Cernik2.7585110LSep 1 · 11:00Z. Kasinski1.801111113J. Cernik1.918860LAug 28 · 13:00J. Cernik2.0010650Z. Kasinski1.731211113WAug 28 · 11:00Z. Kasinski1.73121210852J. Cernik2.0010101211113WAug 17 · 13:00J. Cernik2.0011112113Z. Kasinski1.73891191WAug 17 · 11:00Z. Kasinski1.573330J. Cernik2.251111113
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