TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13052424
Played Sep 1Finished
Cesta Havrda
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
9111171012811––
Zdenek Kasinski
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:09 and never touched — 64.6% is still 64.6%
Graded at full timeCesta Havrda to win
64.6%
64.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingCesta Havrda above · Zdenek Kasinski below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 79 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Cesta Havrda at 64.6%
79 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:09What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Kasinski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Havrda 1057 vs Kasinski 1142
Kasinski
Correct
both rated, 84 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Havrda 60% vs Kasinski 20%
Havrda
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Havrda 50% vs Kasinski 20%
Havrda
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Havrda +3 · Kasinski +1
Havrda
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Kasinski) · live re-read · sealed at 35% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kasinski form (20%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHavrda 2.20 / Kasinski 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Kasinski)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13052424
Havrda2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog20% won 11 of 54
Down 0–1, comes back0% 0 of 31
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 23
Kasinski1.61
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite22% won 5 of 23
Up 2–0, closes it67% 4 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it42% 5 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricHavrdaKasinskiBasisWin rate · lifetime106 / 252 vs 72 / 16042.1%45%106 / 252 vs 72 / 160Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.336.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KasinskiHavrda 2.20/Kasinski 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Kasinski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kasinski won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
C. Havrda10
LSep 1 · 12:59C. Havrda3.759780A. Hejduk1.251111113LSep 1 · 12:00C. Havrda2.509540J. Cernik1.501111113WSep 1 · 11:30A. Hejduk1.2071111772C. Havrda4.33116411113WAug 25 · 13:30M. Smesny2.00115612102C. Havrda1.739111110123WAug 25 · 12:00L. Novotny1.507470C. Havrda2.501111113WAug 25 · 11:00J. Strnad2.50912121442C. Havrda1.5011101016113LAug 25 · 10:30C. Havrda1.801091111112M. Smesny1.91121195133LAug 24 · 12:58C. Havrda1.44681171V. Kubat2.6311115113LAug 24 · 12:00J. Strnad2.6331111113C. Havrda1.44118591WAug 24 · 11:00V. Kubat2.6358100C. Havrda1.441111123
Z. Kasinski10
WSep 1 · 13:30Z. Kasinski1.401111113J. Cernik2.759670WSep 1 · 12:30Z. Kasinski1.67114511113A. Hejduk2.1081111562WSep 1 · 11:00Z. Kasinski1.801111113J. Cernik1.918860WAug 28 · 13:00J. Cernik2.0010650Z. Kasinski1.731211113LAug 28 · 12:30Z. Kasinski1.53115551L. Novotny2.3891111113LAug 28 · 11:00Z. Kasinski1.73121210852J. Cernik2.0010101211113LAug 28 · 10:00J. Strnad2.6361111113Z. Kasinski1.44114871LAug 17 · 13:00J. Cernik2.0011112113Z. Kasinski1.73891191LAug 17 · 12:30Z. Kasinski1.731191591V. Sr2.0081117113LAug 17 · 11:00Z. Kasinski1.573330J. Cernik2.251111113
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