TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12444138
Played Aug 17Finished
Zdenek Kasinski
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
311311311––––
Jaromir Cernik
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:25 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeZdenek Kasinski to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingZdenek Kasinski above · Jaromir Cernik below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 3-11
Point 42 set 3, 3-11 — our read held Zdenek Kasinski at 58.9%
42 points played in total.
H2H Zdenek Kasinski 0–1 Jaromir Cernik Zdenek Kasinski has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:25What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Kasinski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kasinski 1190 vs Cernik 1154
Kasinski
Wrong
both rated, 36 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kasinski 40% vs Cernik 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kasinski 40% vs Cernik 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kasinski -2 · Cernik -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kasinski) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kasinski form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKasinski 1.57 / Cernik 2.25
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kasinski)-4.9pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #12444138
Kasinski1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite27% won 4 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it57% 4 of 7
Cernik2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog30% won 43 of 146
Down 0–1, comes back18% 16 of 88
Down 0–2, comes back12% 7 of 61
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKasinski0wins
AwayCernik1wins
Cernik leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricKasinskiCernikK − CBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match22.033.0−11.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKasinskiCernikBasisWin rate · lifetime71 / 153 vs 369 / 80146.4%46.1%71 / 153 vs 369 / 801Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.736.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KasinskiKasinski 1.57/Cernik 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kasinski · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Cernik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 15 · 08:30Z. Kasinski—8950J. Cernik—1111113
Z. Kasinski10
WSep 1 · 13:30Z. Kasinski1.401111113J. Cernik2.759670WSep 1 · 12:30Z. Kasinski1.67114511113A. Hejduk2.1081111562WSep 1 · 11:00Z. Kasinski1.801111113J. Cernik1.918860WSep 1 · 10:00C. Havrda2.209111081Z. Kasinski1.6111712113WAug 28 · 13:00J. Cernik2.0010650Z. Kasinski1.731211113LAug 28 · 12:30Z. Kasinski1.53115551L. Novotny2.3891111113LAug 28 · 11:00Z. Kasinski1.73121210852J. Cernik2.0010101211113LAug 28 · 10:00J. Strnad2.6361111113Z. Kasinski1.44114871LAug 17 · 13:00J. Cernik2.0011112113Z. Kasinski1.73891191LAug 17 · 12:30Z. Kasinski1.731191591V. Sr2.0081117113
J. Cernik10
LSep 4 · 03:01A. Hejduk1.631112113J. Cernik2.1341030WSep 4 · 02:00J. Strnad3.00161013972J. Cernik1.3614121111113LSep 4 · 24:30J. Cernik3.4081310J. Grohsgott1.301115113LSep 3 · 23:00J. Cernik1.915770A. Hejduk1.801111113LSep 3 · 22:00M. Vaclavik1.401111133J. Cernik2.7585110LSep 1 · 13:30Z. Kasinski1.401111113J. Cernik2.759670LSep 1 · 11:00Z. Kasinski1.801111113J. Cernik1.918860LAug 28 · 13:00J. Cernik2.0010650Z. Kasinski1.731211113WAug 28 · 11:00Z. Kasinski1.73121210852J. Cernik2.0010101211113WAug 17 · 13:00J. Cernik2.0011112113Z. Kasinski1.73891191
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