TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13030432
Played Aug 28Finished
Zdenek Kasinski
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 7
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
119511511511––
Ladislav Novotny
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:32 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeZdenek Kasinski to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingZdenek Kasinski above · Ladislav Novotny below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 68 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Zdenek Kasinski at 54.9%
68 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:32What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Kasinski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Kasinski 1129 vs Novotny 1180
Novotny
Correct
both rated, 51 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kasinski 0% vs Novotny 80%
Novotny
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kasinski 20% vs Novotny 70%
Novotny
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kasinski -5 · Novotny +4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Kasinski) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Novotny form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKasinski 1.53 / Novotny 2.38
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Novotny)+5.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13030432
Kasinski1.53
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite21% won 4 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it50% 4 of 8
Novotny2.38
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog45% won 36 of 80
Down 0–1, comes back23% 9 of 40
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricKasinskiNovotnyBasisWin rate · lifetime71 / 158 vs 176 / 35044.9%50.3%71 / 158 vs 176 / 350Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.636.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KasinskiKasinski 1.53/Novotny 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.6%
Kasinski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Novotny won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
Z. Kasinski10
WSep 1 · 13:30Z. Kasinski1.401111113J. Cernik2.759670WSep 1 · 12:30Z. Kasinski1.67114511113A. Hejduk2.1081111562WSep 1 · 11:00Z. Kasinski1.801111113J. Cernik1.918860WSep 1 · 10:00C. Havrda2.209111081Z. Kasinski1.6111712113WAug 28 · 13:00J. Cernik2.0010650Z. Kasinski1.731211113LAug 28 · 11:00Z. Kasinski1.73121210852J. Cernik2.0010101211113LAug 28 · 10:00J. Strnad2.6361111113Z. Kasinski1.44114871LAug 17 · 13:00J. Cernik2.0011112113Z. Kasinski1.73891191LAug 17 · 12:30Z. Kasinski1.731191591V. Sr2.0081117113LAug 17 · 11:00Z. Kasinski1.573330J. Cernik2.251111113
L. Novotny10
LSep 6 · 09:00M. Smesny1.8091113113L. Novotny1.911181191LSep 6 · 08:00L. Novotny1.7331080J. Martinek2.001112113WSep 6 · 07:30M. Vrabec2.2015490L. Novotny1.611711113LSep 6 · 06:00L. Novotny2.00111111982M. Smesny1.73913911113LSep 3 · 09:29L. Novotny1.4012101371M. Vrabec2.75141211113WSep 3 · 08:00L. Novotny1.731111113M. Vrabec2.009560WSep 3 · 07:30M. Smesny1.5010560L. Novotny2.501211113WSep 3 · 06:00L. Novotny1.5711117113J. Strnad2.25541151LSep 1 · 09:29M. Smesny1.5711126113L. Novotny2.257101191LSep 1 · 08:30L. Novotny2.2511119772M. Smesny1.57561111113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.