TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13082601
Played Sep 6Finished
Ladislav Novotny
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
3111012811––––
Jaroslav Martinek
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:55 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLadislav Novotny to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingLadislav Novotny above · Jaroslav Martinek below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 55 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Ladislav Novotny at 54.0%
55 points played in total.
H2H Ladislav Novotny 5–6 Jaroslav Martinek Ladislav Novotny has won 5 of their 11 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:55What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Novotny
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-6 in 11
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Novotny 1247 vs Martinek 1175
Novotny
Wrong
both rated, 72 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Novotny 60% vs Martinek 40%
Novotny
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Novotny 60% vs Martinek 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Novotny +1 · Martinek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Novotny)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNovotny 1.73 / Martinek 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Martinek)-0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13082601
Novotny1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite62% won 46 of 74
Up 2–0, closes it97% 28 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it80% 37 of 46
Martinek2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog48% won 19 of 40
Down 0–1, comes back15% 3 of 20
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeNovotny5wins
AwayMartinek5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNovotny57.1%4 of 7
AwayMartinek66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Novotny7Martinek3n = 10Novotny took 7 of 10
S2Novotny4Martinek6n = 10Martinek took 6 of 10
S3Novotny6Martinek4n = 10Novotny took 6 of 10
S4Novotny4Martinek3n = 7Novotny took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricNovotnyMartinekN − MBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match36.334.9+1.4per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNovotnyMartinekBasisWin rate · lifetime181 / 358 vs 75 / 15150.6%49.7%181 / 358 vs 75 / 151Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.035.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NovotnyNovotny 1.73/Martinek 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Novotny · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Martinek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 16 · 06:30L. Novotny—1211113J. Martinek—10740
LAug 15 · 06:30L. Novotny—11811962J. Martinek—411911113
LJun 27 · 09:30L. Novotny—311961J. Martinek—11611113
LJun 27 · 08:00L. Novotny—101160J. Martinek—1213113
WJun 13 · 09:30L. Novotny—11711113J. Martinek—711681
WJun 13 · 07:30L. Novotny—14411113J. Martinek—1211771
LJun 6 · 07:00L. Novotny—113781J. Martinek—91111113
WMay 23 · 07:30L. Novotny—1111113J. Martinek—5470
WMar 22 · 08:30L. Novotny—91111113J. Martinek—119871
LJan 10 · 07:30L. Novotny—11961172J. Martinek—311119113
L. Novotny10
LSep 6 · 09:00M. Smesny1.8091113113L. Novotny1.911181191WSep 6 · 07:30M. Vrabec2.2015490L. Novotny1.611711113LSep 6 · 06:00L. Novotny2.00111111982M. Smesny1.73913911113LSep 3 · 09:29L. Novotny1.4012101371M. Vrabec2.75141211113WSep 3 · 08:00L. Novotny1.731111113M. Vrabec2.009560WSep 3 · 07:30M. Smesny1.5010560L. Novotny2.501211113WSep 3 · 06:00L. Novotny1.5711117113J. Strnad2.25541151LSep 1 · 09:29M. Smesny1.5711126113L. Novotny2.257101191LSep 1 · 08:30L. Novotny2.2511119772M. Smesny1.57561111113WSep 1 · 07:00L. Novotny1.671111113J. Strnad2.106580
J. Martinek10
LSep 6 · 09:30M. Vrabec1.2811312113J. Martinek3.257111051WSep 6 · 07:00M. Smesny1.57111191162J. Martinek2.25831113113LSep 6 · 06:30J. Martinek2.752950M. Vrabec1.401111113LAug 26 · 02:58J. Martinek1.535360V. Stach2.381111113WAug 26 · 01:30J. Martinek2.251112123A. Hejduk1.57910100LAug 26 · 24:30J. Grohsgott1.575111011113J. Martinek2.2511512492WAug 25 · 23:30V. Stach1.83891141J. Martinek1.8311117113LAug 25 · 22:30J. Martinek1.7311060T. Kucera2.001112113WAug 23 · 09:30L. Havrda1.22161111842J. Martinek4.00189611113WAug 23 · 08:30J. Hyrsl1.80411991J. Martinek1.9111911113
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