TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13003438
Played Aug 25Finished
Jaroslav Martinek
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1111012611––––
Tomas Kucera
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:59 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Martinek to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJaroslav Martinek above · Tomas Kucera below
Set 1 · 1-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 51 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Jaroslav Martinek at 58.9%
51 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Martinek 2–2 Tomas Kucera Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:59What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Martinek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Martinek 1176 vs Kucera 1138
Martinek
Wrong
both rated, 38 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Martinek 80% vs Kucera 20%
Martinek
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Martinek 70% vs Kucera 30%
Martinek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Martinek +2 · Kucera -4
Kucera
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Martinek) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kucera form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMartinek 1.73 / Kucera 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Martinek)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13003438
Martinek1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite66% won 19 of 29
Up 2–0, closes it100% 11 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it81% 13 of 16
Kucera2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog26% won 7 of 27
Down 0–1, comes back19% 3 of 16
Down 0–2, comes back17% 2 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeMartinek2wins
AwayKucera2wins
2 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Martinek2Kucera2n = 4split evenly
S2Martinek1Kucera3n = 4Kucera took 3 of 4
S3Martinek0Kucera4n = 4Kucera took 4 of 4
S4Martinek2Kucera1n = 3Martinek took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home250%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricMartinekKuceraM − KBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match34.042.0−8.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMartinekKuceraBasisWin rate · lifetime74 / 153 vs 111 / 22748.4%48.9%74 / 153 vs 111 / 227Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.435.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MartinekMartinek 1.73/Kucera 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Martinek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kucera won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LAug 25 · 22:30J. Martinek—11060T. Kucera—1112113
WApr 5 · 03:00J. Martinek—115411113T. Kucera—111311642
LApr 5 · 02:00J. Martinek—117941T. Kucera—71111113
WFeb 17 · 20:00J. Martinek—117211153T. Kucera—711117132
J. Martinek10
LSep 6 · 09:30M. Vrabec1.2811312113J. Martinek3.257111051WSep 6 · 08:00L. Novotny1.7331080J. Martinek2.001112113WSep 6 · 07:00M. Smesny1.57111191162J. Martinek2.25831113113LSep 6 · 06:30J. Martinek2.752950M. Vrabec1.401111113LAug 26 · 02:58J. Martinek1.535360V. Stach2.381111113WAug 26 · 01:30J. Martinek2.251112123A. Hejduk1.57910100LAug 26 · 24:30J. Grohsgott1.575111011113J. Martinek2.2511512492WAug 25 · 23:30V. Stach1.83891141J. Martinek1.8311117113WAug 23 · 09:30L. Havrda1.22161111842J. Martinek4.00189611113WAug 23 · 08:30J. Hyrsl1.80411991J. Martinek1.9111911113
T. Kucera10
LAug 26 · 03:30T. Kucera1.60791171J. Grohsgott2.2011118113WAug 26 · 02:00T. Kucera2.6311311113J. Grohsgott1.44511491LAug 26 · 01:00T. Kucera2.101191051V. Stach1.6781112113WAug 26 · 24:00A. Hejduk1.67811921T. Kucera2.1011911113LAug 17 · 08:58A. Hejduk1.911411113T. Kucera1.8012760LAug 17 · 08:00M. Bohac1.2851111113T. Kucera3.50119941LAug 17 · 07:00A. Hejduk2.109111011133T. Kucera1.67119129112LAug 17 · 06:30T. Kucera1.7381111782J. Cernik2.00114711113WJul 30 · 09:30L. Forman1.30111111432T. Kucera3.10781311113WJul 30 · 08:00A. Tkachenko3.7510940T. Kucera1.251211113
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