TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13003407
Played Aug 26Finished
Tomas Kucera
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
115311114119––
Jiri Grohsgott
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:59 and never touched — 61.7% is still 61.7%
Graded at full timeJiri Grohsgott to win
61.7%
61.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongpick shipped
How it is goingTomas Kucera above · Jiri Grohsgott below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 65 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Jiri Grohsgott at 61.7%
65 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Kucera 28–17 Jiri Grohsgott Jiri Grohsgott has won 17 of their 45 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:59What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Grohsgott
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
28-17 in 45
Kucera
Correct
gap of 11 in 45, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kucera 1141 vs Grohsgott 1151
Grohsgott
Wrong
both rated, 9 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kucera 40% vs Grohsgott 80%
Grohsgott
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kucera 50% vs Grohsgott 70%
Grohsgott
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kucera -1 · Grohsgott +3
Grohsgott
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Grohsgott) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Grohsgott form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKucera 2.63 / Grohsgott 1.44
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Grohsgott)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13003407
Kucera2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog26% won 7 of 27
Down 0–1, comes back19% 3 of 16
Down 0–2, comes back17% 2 of 12
Grohsgott1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite64% won 148 of 231
Up 2–0, closes it96% 81 of 84
Up 1–0, closes it83% 109 of 132
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKucera4wins
AwayGrohsgott6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderGrohsgott leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKucera60%3 of 5
AwayGrohsgott80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kucera5Grohsgott5n = 10split evenly
S2Kucera3Grohsgott7n = 10Grohsgott took 7 of 10
S3Kucera5Grohsgott5n = 10split evenly
S4Kucera4Grohsgott4n = 8split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKuceraGrohsgottK − GBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match32.534.8−2.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKuceraGrohsgottBasisWin rate · lifetime112 / 229 vs 748 / 154348.9%48.5%112 / 229 vs 748 / 1543Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.936.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GrohsgottKucera 2.63/Grohsgott 1.44
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
65.7%
Grohsgott · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kucera won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 28 · 22:00T. Kucera—11541142J. Grohsgott—711119113
LJul 3 · 24:00T. Kucera—115261J. Grohsgott—51111113
LApr 16 · 23:30T. Kucera—611861J. Grohsgott—11411113
LMar 23 · 09:00T. Kucera—751171J. Grohsgott—11115113
LDec 9 · 23:00T. Kucera—351171J. Grohsgott—11119113
WNov 21 · 03:30T. Kucera—11119113J. Grohsgott—291191
WOct 17 · 15:30T. Kucera—1111113J. Grohsgott—4570
WOct 13 · 09:00T. Kucera—591111113J. Grohsgott—11116442
LOct 13 · 06:30T. Kucera—6810J. Grohsgott—1111113
WOct 6 · 09:30T. Kucera—11911113J. Grohsgott—311951
T. Kucera10
LAug 26 · 03:30T. Kucera1.60791171J. Grohsgott2.2011118113LAug 26 · 01:00T. Kucera2.101191051V. Stach1.6781112113WAug 26 · 24:00A. Hejduk1.67811921T. Kucera2.1011911113WAug 25 · 22:30J. Martinek1.7311060T. Kucera2.001112113LAug 17 · 08:58A. Hejduk1.911411113T. Kucera1.8012760LAug 17 · 08:00M. Bohac1.2851111113T. Kucera3.50119941LAug 17 · 07:00A. Hejduk2.109111011133T. Kucera1.67119129112LAug 17 · 06:30T. Kucera1.7381111782J. Cernik2.00114711113WJul 30 · 09:30L. Forman1.30111111432T. Kucera3.10781311113WJul 30 · 08:00A. Tkachenko3.7510940T. Kucera1.251211113
J. Grohsgott10
LSep 5 · 17:30J. Grohsgott3.00101511642M. Regner1.341213811113LSep 5 · 16:30M. Regner1.25812118113J. Grohsgott3.75111071172WSep 5 · 15:30J. Grohsgott1.671111133V. Stach2.1038110WSep 5 · 14:30M. Syroha1.91911111092J. Grohsgott1.80113912113LSep 5 · 13:00J. Grohsgott1.959530L. Havrda1.751111113LSep 5 · 12:30L. Havrda1.831111113J. Grohsgott1.838750LSep 5 · 11:30J. Grohsgott1.809119111M. Syroha1.9111811133WSep 5 · 10:30V. Stach2.1011470J. Grohsgott1.671311113LSep 4 · 03:30J. Grohsgott2.1091111862M. Vaclavik1.65119911113WAug 26 · 03:30T. Kucera1.60791171J. Grohsgott2.2011118113
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