TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12444164
Played Aug 17Finished
Martin Bohac
Home
1.29
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
511119119114––
Tomas Kucera
Away
3.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:25 and never touched — 73.1% is still 73.1%
Graded at full timeMartin Bohac to win
73.1%
73.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Bohac above · Tomas Kucera below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 71 set 4, 11-4 — our read held Martin Bohac at 73.1%
71 points played in total.
H2H Martin Bohac 4–1 Tomas Kucera Tomas Kucera has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:25What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Bohac
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-1 in 5
Bohac
Correct
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bohac 1252 vs Kucera 1146
Bohac
Correct
both rated, 106 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bohac 40% vs Kucera 60%
Kucera
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bohac 40% vs Kucera 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Bohac +2 · Kucera -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 76% — Strong (leans Bohac) · live re-read · sealed at 73% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kucera form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBohac 1.28 / Kucera 3.50
Signal prob.76% / 24%
Edge (Bohac)+3.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12444164
Bohac1.28
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite65% won 13 of 20
Up 2–0, closes it100% 7 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it100% 9 of 9
Kucera3.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog30% won 8 of 27
Down 0–1, comes back19% 3 of 16
Down 0–2, comes back17% 2 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeBohac4wins
AwayKucera1wins
1 of 5 to a deciderBohac leads 4–1, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBohac75%3 of 4
AwayKuceran = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bohac4Kucera1n = 5Bohac took 4 of 5
S2Bohac4Kucera1n = 5Bohac took 4 of 5
S3Bohac5Kucera0n = 5Bohac took 5 of 5
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home360%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricBohacKuceraB − KBasisWins41+3in 5 meetingsFirst set41+3of 5Avg pointsper match37.030.4+6.6per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBohacKuceraBasisWin rate · lifetime77 / 145 vs 116 / 23353.1%49.8%77 / 145 vs 116 / 233Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.736.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BohacBohac 1.28/Kucera 3.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
76.1%
Bohac · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Bohac won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WAug 17 · 08:00M. Bohac—51111113T. Kucera—119941
WFeb 6 · 21:30M. Bohac—1111113T. Kucera—7560
WAug 18 · 07:00M. Bohac—1111113T. Kucera—7990
WJul 23 · 09:30M. Bohac—1113113T. Kucera—61160
LJul 23 · 07:00M. Bohac—11613972T. Kucera—9111111113
M. Bohac10
LAug 21 · 13:30M. Bohac1.738860M. Chalupnicek2.001111113WAug 21 · 12:00M. Bohac2.1061111113M. Chalupnicek1.67119891WAug 21 · 11:30J. Grohsgott3.007121161M. Bohac1.3611147113LAug 21 · 10:00M. Bohac1.5767111192M. Lubas2.25111156113WAug 19 · 09:03L. Havel1.36971171M. Bohac3.0011118113WAug 19 · 08:30M. Chalupnicek1.5381191252M. Bohac2.381191110113LAug 19 · 07:30M. Bohac2.758580L. Havel1.401111113LAug 19 · 06:30M. Regner1.501311113M. Bohac2.5011880WAug 17 · 09:30M. Bohac1.6111911113J. Cernik2.20811541WAug 17 · 07:30J. Cernik2.2014118742M. Bohac1.611251111113
T. Kucera10
LAug 26 · 03:30T. Kucera1.60791171J. Grohsgott2.2011118113WAug 26 · 02:00T. Kucera2.6311311113J. Grohsgott1.44511491LAug 26 · 01:00T. Kucera2.101191051V. Stach1.6781112113WAug 26 · 24:00A. Hejduk1.67811921T. Kucera2.1011911113WAug 25 · 22:30J. Martinek1.7311060T. Kucera2.001112113LAug 17 · 08:58A. Hejduk1.911411113T. Kucera1.8012760LAug 17 · 07:00A. Hejduk2.109111011133T. Kucera1.67119129112LAug 17 · 06:30T. Kucera1.7381111782J. Cernik2.00114711113WJul 30 · 09:30L. Forman1.30111111432T. Kucera3.10781311113WJul 30 · 08:00A. Tkachenko3.7510940T. Kucera1.251211113
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