TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12455091
Played Aug 19Finished
Milan Regner
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1311118118––––
Martin Bohac
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:41 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMilan Regner to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMilan Regner above · Martin Bohac below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 62 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Milan Regner at 54.0%
62 points played in total.
H2H Milan Regner 2–0 Martin Bohac Martin Bohac has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:41What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Regner
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Regner 1245 vs Bohac 1260
Bohac
Wrong
both rated, 14 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Regner 40% vs Bohac 80%
Bohac
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Regner 30% vs Bohac 50%
Bohac
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Regner -2 · Bohac +4
Bohac
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Regner) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bohac form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRegner 1.50 / Bohac 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 38%
Edge (Regner)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12455091
Regner1.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 78 of 144
Up 2–0, closes it84% 38 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it74% 57 of 77
Bohac2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog25% won 4 of 16
Down 0–1, comes back0% 0 of 10
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 5
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeRegner2wins
AwayBohac0wins
1 of 2 to a deciderRegner leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricRegnerBohacR − BBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match42.534.0+8.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRegnerBohacBasisWin rate · lifetime229 / 494 vs 80 / 15046.4%53.3%229 / 494 vs 80 / 150Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.537.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RegnerRegner 1.50/Bohac 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.5%
Regner · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Regner won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 19 · 06:30M. Regner—1311113M. Bohac—11880
WJul 16 · 18:30M. Regner—119118113M. Bohac—81161152
M. Regner10
WSep 5 · 17:30J. Grohsgott3.00101511642M. Regner1.341213811113WSep 5 · 16:30M. Regner1.25812118113J. Grohsgott3.75111071172LSep 5 · 15:00M. Regner2.00861151M. Syroha1.7311114113WSep 5 · 14:00V. Stach2.509790M. Regner1.501111113WSep 2 · 13:28D. Mutl2.1061180M. Regner1.671113113WSep 2 · 12:30M. Regner1.3091311113J. Grohsgott3.401111451LSep 2 · 11:00M. Regner1.44811681D. Mutl2.6311311113WSep 2 · 10:00M. Vaclavik1.831311221M. Regner1.8315711113LAug 30 · 16:58M. Barta2.75114611113M. Regner1.4051111962LAug 30 · 16:30J. Svec2.001113113M. Regner1.7371160
M. Bohac10
LAug 21 · 13:30M. Bohac1.738860M. Chalupnicek2.001111113WAug 21 · 12:00M. Bohac2.1061111113M. Chalupnicek1.67119891WAug 21 · 11:30J. Grohsgott3.007121161M. Bohac1.3611147113LAug 21 · 10:00M. Bohac1.5767111192M. Lubas2.25111156113WAug 19 · 09:03L. Havel1.36971171M. Bohac3.0011118113WAug 19 · 08:30M. Chalupnicek1.5381191252M. Bohac2.381191110113LAug 19 · 07:30M. Bohac2.758580L. Havel1.401111113WAug 17 · 09:30M. Bohac1.6111911113J. Cernik2.20811541WAug 17 · 08:00M. Bohac1.2851111113T. Kucera3.50119941WAug 17 · 07:30J. Cernik2.2014118742M. Bohac1.611251111113
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