TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12465635
Played Aug 21Finished
Jiri Grohsgott
Home
3.00
At publish
Lost last 9Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 9
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
7111214117611––
Martin Bohac
Away
1.36
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:55 and never touched — 74.8% is still 74.8%
Graded at full timeMartin Bohac to win
74.8%
74.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJiri Grohsgott above · Martin Bohac below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 12-14
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 79 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Martin Bohac at 74.8%
79 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Grohsgott 1–6 Martin Bohac Jiri Grohsgott has won 1 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:55What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Bohac
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-6 in 7
Bohac
Correct
gap of 5 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Grohsgott 1084 vs Bohac 1247
Bohac
Correct
both rated, 162 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Grohsgott 0% vs Bohac 40%
Bohac
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Grohsgott 10% vs Bohac 60%
Bohac
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Grohsgott -5 · Bohac -1
Grohsgott
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Bohac) · live re-read · sealed at 75% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bohac form (40%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGrohsgott 3.00 / Bohac 1.36
Signal prob.27% / 73%
Edge (Bohac)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12465635
Grohsgott3.00
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 9
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog38% won 136 of 362
Down 0–1, comes back20% 38 of 189
Down 0–2, comes back7% 8 of 110
Bohac1.36
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite73% won 16 of 22
Up 2–0, closes it100% 6 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it100% 10 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeGrohsgott1wins
AwayBohac6wins
1 of 7 to a deciderBohac leads 6–1, and 1 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGrohsgottn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayBohac100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Grohsgott2Bohac5n = 7Bohac took 5 of 7
S2Grohsgott4Bohac3n = 7Grohsgott took 4 of 7
S3Grohsgott2Bohac5n = 7Bohac took 5 of 7
S4Grohsgott0Bohac4n = 4Bohac took 4 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away343%
0–3Straight, away229%
These 7 meetings
MetricGrohsgottBohacG − BBasisWins16−5in 7 meetingsFirst set25−3of 7Avg pointsper match30.337.7−7.4per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGrohsgottBohacBasisWin rate · lifetime753 / 1546 vs 80 / 15148.7%53%753 / 1546 vs 80 / 151Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.237.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BohacGrohsgott 3.00/Bohac 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72.8%
Bohac · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Bohac won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LNov 6 · 19:30J. Grohsgott—118681M. Bohac—71111113
LOct 25 · 09:30J. Grohsgott—911961M. Bohac—11811113
WOct 25 · 07:00J. Grohsgott—1111113M. Bohac—9880
LOct 10 · 02:30J. Grohsgott—6780M. Bohac—1111113
LJul 25 · 07:30J. Grohsgott—71113562M. Bohac—1181111113
LFeb 16 · 09:00J. Grohsgott—6690M. Bohac—1111113
LJan 26 · 09:00J. Grohsgott—811351M. Bohac—11711113
J. Grohsgott10
LSep 5 · 17:30J. Grohsgott3.00101511642M. Regner1.341213811113LSep 5 · 16:30M. Regner1.25812118113J. Grohsgott3.75111071172WSep 5 · 15:30J. Grohsgott1.671111133V. Stach2.1038110WSep 5 · 14:30M. Syroha1.91911111092J. Grohsgott1.80113912113LSep 5 · 13:00J. Grohsgott1.959530L. Havrda1.751111113LSep 5 · 12:30L. Havrda1.831111113J. Grohsgott1.838750LSep 5 · 11:30J. Grohsgott1.809119111M. Syroha1.9111811133WSep 5 · 10:30V. Stach2.1011470J. Grohsgott1.671311113LSep 4 · 03:30J. Grohsgott2.1091111862M. Vaclavik1.65119911113WSep 4 · 01:30J. Grohsgott1.671111113A. Hejduk2.106880
M. Bohac10
LAug 21 · 13:30M. Bohac1.738860M. Chalupnicek2.001111113WAug 21 · 12:00M. Bohac2.1061111113M. Chalupnicek1.67119891LAug 21 · 10:00M. Bohac1.5767111192M. Lubas2.25111156113WAug 19 · 09:03L. Havel1.36971171M. Bohac3.0011118113WAug 19 · 08:30M. Chalupnicek1.5381191252M. Bohac2.381191110113LAug 19 · 07:30M. Bohac2.758580L. Havel1.401111113LAug 19 · 06:30M. Regner1.501311113M. Bohac2.5011880WAug 17 · 09:30M. Bohac1.6111911113J. Cernik2.20811541WAug 17 · 08:00M. Bohac1.2851111113T. Kucera3.50119941WAug 17 · 07:30J. Cernik2.2014118742M. Bohac1.611251111113
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