TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12455088
Played Aug 19Finished
Milan Chalupnicek
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
8111199111210511
Martin Bohac
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:40 and never touched — 63.8% is still 63.8%
Graded at full timeMilan Chalupnicek to win
63.8%
63.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMilan Chalupnicek above · Martin Bohac below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 97 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Milan Chalupnicek at 63.8%
97 points played in total.
H2H Milan Chalupnicek 4–1 Martin Bohac Martin Bohac has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:40What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Chalupnicek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-1 in 5
Chalupnicek
Wrong
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Chalupnicek 1262 vs Bohac 1235
Chalupnicek
Wrong
both rated, 27 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chalupnicek 100% vs Bohac 60%
Chalupnicek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chalupnicek 60% vs Bohac 40%
Chalupnicek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Chalupnicek +5 · Bohac -2
Chalupnicek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Chalupnicek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bohac form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChalupnicek 1.53 / Bohac 2.38
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Chalupnicek)+3.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12455088
Chalupnicek1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite58% won 52 of 90
Up 2–0, closes it96% 24 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it78% 31 of 40
Bohac2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog14% won 2 of 14
Down 0–1, comes back0% 0 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeChalupnicek4wins
AwayBohac1wins
2 of 5 to a deciderChalupnicek leads 4–1, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChalupnicek75%3 of 4
AwayBohacn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chalupnicek4Bohac1n = 5Chalupnicek took 4 of 5
S2Chalupnicek3Bohac2n = 5Chalupnicek took 3 of 5
S3Chalupnicek4Bohac1n = 5Chalupnicek took 4 of 5
S4Chalupnicek2Bohac1n = 3Chalupnicek took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home240%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricChalupnicekBohacC − BBasisWins41+3in 5 meetingsFirst set41+3of 5Avg pointsper match41.234.6+6.6per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChalupnicekBohacBasisWin rate · lifetime325 / 658 vs 78 / 14849.4%52.7%325 / 658 vs 78 / 148Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChalupnicekChalupnicek 1.53/Bohac 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.8%
Chalupnicek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Bohac won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WMay 1 · 11:00M. Chalupnicek—1111113M. Bohac—9680
LNov 14 · 18:30M. Chalupnicek—11891172M. Bohac—911114113
WNov 14 · 17:00M. Chalupnicek—101111113M. Bohac—126981
WJul 25 · 09:30M. Chalupnicek—117117123M. Bohac—711611102
WJul 25 · 08:30M. Chalupnicek—1411113M. Bohac—12840
M. Chalupnicek10
WSep 5 · 08:59M. Chalupnicek1.44111128113M. Barta2.6374111122LSep 5 · 08:30M. Chalupnicek1.6171113682Z. Zikmunda2.201171111113WSep 5 · 07:00M. Chalupnicek1.5711118113M. Barta2.25331171LSep 5 · 06:00Z. Drabek2.2051114123M. Chalupnicek1.6111812101WSep 4 · 13:06M. Chalupnicek1.681113113Z. Drabek2.0581140LSep 4 · 12:30J. Strnad1.571011711113M. Chalupnicek2.2512611752WSep 4 · 11:30M. Chalupnicek1.801111113P. Kulhanek1.916960LSep 4 · 10:30Z. Drabek2.10114611123M. Chalupnicek1.67511115102WSep 4 · 09:00P. Sudek1.401191481M. Chalupnicek2.7581116113LSep 4 · 08:00M. Chalupnicek2.637101121P. Sudek1.4411125113
M. Bohac10
LAug 21 · 13:30M. Bohac1.738860M. Chalupnicek2.001111113WAug 21 · 12:00M. Bohac2.1061111113M. Chalupnicek1.67119891WAug 21 · 11:30J. Grohsgott3.007121161M. Bohac1.3611147113LAug 21 · 10:00M. Bohac1.5767111192M. Lubas2.25111156113WAug 19 · 09:03L. Havel1.36971171M. Bohac3.0011118113LAug 19 · 07:30M. Bohac2.758580L. Havel1.401111113LAug 19 · 06:30M. Regner1.501311113M. Bohac2.5011880WAug 17 · 09:30M. Bohac1.6111911113J. Cernik2.20811541WAug 17 · 08:00M. Bohac1.2851111113T. Kucera3.50119941WAug 17 · 07:30J. Cernik2.2014118742M. Bohac1.611251111113
Upcoming Matches
M. Chalupnicek
M. Bohac
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.