TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12455080
Played Aug 19Finished
Martin Bohac
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811511811––––
Ladislav Havel 1956
Away
1.40
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:40 and never touched — 66.3% is still 66.3%
Graded at full timeLadislav Havel 1956 to win
66.3%
66.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Bohac above · Ladislav Havel 1956 below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 54 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Ladislav Havel 1956 at 66.3%
54 points played in total.
H2H Martin Bohac 1–4 Ladislav Havel 1956 Martin Bohac has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:40What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Havel
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-4 in 5
Havel
Correct
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bohac 1260 vs Havel 1282
Havel
Correct
both rated, 22 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bohac 80% vs Havel 40%
Bohac
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bohac 40% vs Havel 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Bohac -1 · Havel -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Havel) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Havel form (40%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBohac 2.75 / Havel 1.40
Signal prob.31% / 69%
Edge (Havel)+3.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12455080
Bohac2.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog25% won 4 of 16
Down 0–1, comes back0% 0 of 10
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 5
Havel1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite55% won 73 of 133
Up 2–0, closes it86% 48 of 56
Up 1–0, closes it72% 57 of 79
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeBohac1wins
AwayHavel4wins
Havel leads 4–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBohacn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayHavel100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bohac1Havel4n = 5Havel took 4 of 5
S2Bohac1Havel4n = 5Havel took 4 of 5
S3Bohac1Havel4n = 5Havel took 4 of 5
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away360%
These 5 meetings
MetricBohacHavelB − HBasisWins14−3in 5 meetingsFirst set14−3of 5Avg pointsper match27.235.2−8.0per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBohacHavelBasisWin rate · lifetime80 / 150 vs 284 / 59453.3%47.8%80 / 150 vs 284 / 594Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.736.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HavelBohac 2.75/Havel 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.3%
Havel · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Havel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WAug 19 · 09:03M. Bohac—11118113L. Havel—971171
LAug 19 · 07:30M. Bohac—8580L. Havel—1111113
LMar 28 · 14:30M. Bohac—10550L. Havel—121193
LMar 28 · 11:30M. Bohac—7101271L. Havel—111210113
LNov 30 · 11:00M. Bohac—2790L. Havel—1111113
M. Bohac10
LAug 21 · 13:30M. Bohac1.738860M. Chalupnicek2.001111113WAug 21 · 12:00M. Bohac2.1061111113M. Chalupnicek1.67119891WAug 21 · 11:30J. Grohsgott3.007121161M. Bohac1.3611147113LAug 21 · 10:00M. Bohac1.5767111192M. Lubas2.25111156113WAug 19 · 09:03L. Havel1.36971171M. Bohac3.0011118113WAug 19 · 08:30M. Chalupnicek1.5381191252M. Bohac2.381191110113LAug 19 · 06:30M. Regner1.501311113M. Bohac2.5011880WAug 17 · 09:30M. Bohac1.6111911113J. Cernik2.20811541WAug 17 · 08:00M. Bohac1.2851111113T. Kucera3.50119941WAug 17 · 07:30J. Cernik2.2014118742M. Bohac1.611251111113
L. Havel10
LAug 31 · 09:28L. Havel1.679121071A. Svoboda2.10111012113WAug 31 · 08:30L. Havel2.10111211113Z. Zikmunda1.67714841WAug 31 · 07:00L. Havel1.801111113M. Ulrych1.918980WAug 31 · 06:00A. Svoboda1.737990L. Havel2.001111113WAug 30 · 13:00L. Havel1.801111123D. Priesol1.9169100LAug 30 · 12:30L. Havel2.757131161M. Tacinec1.4011159113WAug 30 · 11:00L. Havel1.9111117113D. Priesol1.80591171LAug 30 · 10:00J. Briska1.831111133L. Havel1.8395110LAug 29 · 13:30L. Sulava1.2211117133L. Havel4.007511111LAug 19 · 09:03L. Havel1.36971171M. Bohac3.0011118113
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