TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12444192
Played Aug 17Finished
Alexander Hejduk
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
91111910121191311
Tomas Kucera
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:41 and never touched — 54.8% is still 54.8%
Graded at full timeTomas Kucera to win
54.8%
54.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingAlexander Hejduk above · Tomas Kucera below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 13-11
Point 106 set 5, 13-11 — our read held Tomas Kucera at 54.8%
106 points played in total.
H2H Alexander Hejduk 10–6 Tomas Kucera Tomas Kucera has won 6 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:41What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Kucera
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-6 in 16
Hejduk
Correct
gap of 4 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hejduk 1197 vs Kucera 1121
Hejduk
Correct
both rated, 76 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hejduk 80% vs Kucera 60%
Hejduk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hejduk 40% vs Kucera 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hejduk -1 · Kucera -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Hejduk) · live re-read · sealed at 45% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hejduk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHejduk 2.10 / Kucera 1.67
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Hejduk)+9.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12444192
Hejduk2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 58 of 131
Down 0–1, comes back30% 23 of 77
Down 0–2, comes back21% 10 of 48
Kucera1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite41% won 11 of 27
Up 2–0, closes it88% 7 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it79% 11 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHejduk6wins
AwayKucera4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderHejduk leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHejduk100%3 of 3
AwayKucera57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hejduk3Kucera7n = 10Kucera took 7 of 10
S2Hejduk5Kucera5n = 10split evenly
S3Hejduk5Kucera5n = 10split evenly
S4Hejduk5Kucera2n = 7Hejduk took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricHejdukKuceraH − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match37.636.3+1.3per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHejdukKuceraBasisWin rate · lifetime194 / 414 vs 113 / 23046.9%49.1%194 / 414 vs 113 / 230Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.836.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HejdukHejduk 2.10/Kucera 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Hejduk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Hejduk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 17 · 08:58A. Hejduk—1411113T. Kucera—12760
WAug 17 · 07:00A. Hejduk—9111011133T. Kucera—119129112
LJul 28 · 23:00A. Hejduk—74100T. Kucera—1111123
WApr 16 · 22:30A. Hejduk—791114113T. Kucera—111171232
WMar 23 · 10:00A. Hejduk—13117113T. Kucera—1151181
LMar 23 · 07:30A. Hejduk—7970T. Kucera—1111113
LFeb 23 · 07:30A. Hejduk—1211831T. Kucera—14711113
LFeb 17 · 10:30A. Hejduk—7611101T. Kucera—11113123
WFeb 17 · 09:00A. Hejduk—71111113T. Kucera—115791
WFeb 3 · 07:30A. Hejduk—11711113T. Kucera—311951
A. Hejduk10
LSep 7 · 07:30A. Hejduk2.20117881D. Mutl1.6191111113LSep 7 · 06:30J. Srba2.3811116113A. Hejduk1.53721171WSep 4 · 03:01A. Hejduk1.631112113J. Cernik2.1341030LSep 4 · 02:30A. Hejduk2.506790M. Vaclavik1.501111113LSep 4 · 01:30J. Grohsgott1.671111113A. Hejduk2.106880WSep 4 · 24:00A. Hejduk1.331211113J. Strnad3.2510830WSep 3 · 23:00J. Cernik1.915770A. Hejduk1.801111113WSep 1 · 12:59C. Havrda3.759780A. Hejduk1.251111113LSep 1 · 12:30Z. Kasinski1.67114511113A. Hejduk2.1081111562LSep 1 · 11:30A. Hejduk1.2071111772C. Havrda4.33116411113
T. Kucera10
LAug 26 · 03:30T. Kucera1.60791171J. Grohsgott2.2011118113WAug 26 · 02:00T. Kucera2.6311311113J. Grohsgott1.44511491LAug 26 · 01:00T. Kucera2.101191051V. Stach1.6781112113WAug 26 · 24:00A. Hejduk1.67811921T. Kucera2.1011911113WAug 25 · 22:30J. Martinek1.7311060T. Kucera2.001112113LAug 17 · 08:58A. Hejduk1.911411113T. Kucera1.8012760LAug 17 · 08:00M. Bohac1.2851111113T. Kucera3.50119941LAug 17 · 06:30T. Kucera1.7381111782J. Cernik2.00114711113WJul 30 · 09:30L. Forman1.30111111432T. Kucera3.10781311113WJul 30 · 08:00A. Tkachenko3.7510940T. Kucera1.251211113
Upcoming Matches
A. Hejduk
T. Kucera
Nothing scheduled
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