TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13003399
Played Aug 25Finished
Vojtech Stach
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811911117411––
Jaroslav Martinek
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:59 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Martinek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVojtech Stach above · Jaroslav Martinek below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 72 set 4, 4-11 — our read held Jaroslav Martinek at 54.0%
72 points played in total.
H2H Vojtech Stach 3–5 Jaroslav Martinek Vojtech Stach has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:59What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Martinek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-5 in 8
Martinek
Correct
gap of 2 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stach 1255 vs Martinek 1176
Stach
Wrong
both rated, 79 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stach 60% vs Martinek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stach 80% vs Martinek 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Stach -1 · Martinek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Stach) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStach 1.83 / Martinek 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Stach)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13003399
Stach1.83
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Martinek1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeStach3wins
AwayMartinek5wins
3 of 8 to a deciderMartinek leads 5–3, and 3 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStach60%3 of 5
AwayMartinek100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stach5Martinek3n = 8Stach took 5 of 8
S2Stach4Martinek4n = 8split evenly
S3Stach5Martinek3n = 8Stach took 5 of 8
S4Stach1Martinek2n = 3Martinek took 2 of 3
S5Stach0Martinek3n = 3Martinek took 3 of 3
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home338%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away338%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away225%
These 8 meetings
MetricStachMartinekS − MBasisWins35−2in 8 meetingsFirst set53+2of 8Avg pointsper match33.236.2−3.0per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStachMartinekBasisWin rate · lifetime60 / 114 vs 74 / 15352.6%48.4%60 / 114 vs 74 / 153Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.135.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StachStach 1.83/Martinek 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Stach · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Martinek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LAug 16 · 09:28V. Stach—7440J. Martinek—1111113
LAug 16 · 07:30V. Stach—147811102J. Martinek—1211117123
WAug 15 · 08:30V. Stach—1111113J. Martinek—8990
LJun 28 · 09:14V. Stach—21112472J. Martinek—1181011113
WJun 28 · 08:00V. Stach—1112113J. Martinek—91080
WMay 9 · 02:30V. Stach—1111113J. Martinek—3780
LOct 30 · 22:30V. Stach—11911962J. Martinek—911711113
LOct 30 · 20:00V. Stach—9280J. Martinek—1111113
V. Stach10
WSep 5 · 17:03M. Syroha1.514670V. Stach2.401111113WSep 5 · 16:00V. Stach2.6351112123M. Syroha1.4411810101LSep 5 · 15:30J. Grohsgott1.671111133V. Stach2.1038110LSep 5 · 14:00V. Stach2.509790M. Regner1.501111113WSep 5 · 13:30M. Syroha2.2561141182V. Stach1.57118118113LSep 5 · 12:00M. Syroha1.441114126113V. Stach2.63512141112WSep 5 · 11:00L. Havrda1.5728100V. Stach2.251111123LSep 5 · 10:30V. Stach2.1011470J. Grohsgott1.671311113LAug 30 · 03:30L. Havrda1.851111113V. Stach1.856380WAug 30 · 02:00J. Grohsgott1.671411461V. Stach2.1016511113
J. Martinek10
LSep 6 · 09:30M. Vrabec1.2811312113J. Martinek3.257111051WSep 6 · 08:00L. Novotny1.7331080J. Martinek2.001112113WSep 6 · 07:00M. Smesny1.57111191162J. Martinek2.25831113113LSep 6 · 06:30J. Martinek2.752950M. Vrabec1.401111113LAug 26 · 02:58J. Martinek1.535360V. Stach2.381111113WAug 26 · 01:30J. Martinek2.251112123A. Hejduk1.57910100LAug 26 · 24:30J. Grohsgott1.575111011113J. Martinek2.2511512492LAug 25 · 22:30J. Martinek1.7311060T. Kucera2.001112113WAug 23 · 09:30L. Havrda1.22161111842J. Martinek4.00189611113WAug 23 · 08:30J. Hyrsl1.80411991J. Martinek1.9111911113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.