TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13030169
Played Aug 28Finished
Zdenek Kasinski
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
121012101012811511
Jaromir Cernik
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:11 and never touched — 69.9% is still 69.9%
Graded at full timeJaromir Cernik to win
69.9%
69.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingZdenek Kasinski above · Jaromir Cernik below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 101 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Jaromir Cernik at 69.9%
101 points played in total.
H2H Zdenek Kasinski 0–3 Jaromir Cernik Zdenek Kasinski has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:11What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kasinski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-3 in 3
Cernik
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kasinski 1129 vs Cernik 1115
Kasinski
Wrong
both rated, 14 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kasinski 0% vs Cernik 40%
Cernik
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kasinski 20% vs Cernik 50%
Cernik
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kasinski -5 · Cernik -1
Kasinski
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Cernik) · live re-read · sealed at 70% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kasinski form (0%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKasinski 1.73 / Cernik 2.00
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Cernik)+7.7pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13030169
Kasinski1.73
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite21% won 4 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it50% 4 of 8
Cernik2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog29% won 46 of 159
Down 0–1, comes back17% 16 of 93
Down 0–2, comes back10% 6 of 63
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeKasinski0wins
AwayCernik3wins
Cernik leads 3–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKasinskin = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayCernik100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kasinski0Cernik3n = 3Cernik took 3 of 3
S2Kasinski0Cernik3n = 3Cernik took 3 of 3
S3Kasinski1Cernik2n = 3Cernik took 2 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away267%
These 3 meetings
MetricKasinskiCernikK − CBasisWins03−3in 3 meetingsFirst set03−3of 3Avg pointsper match22.733.7−11.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKasinskiCernikBasisWin rate · lifetime71 / 157 vs 365 / 79845.2%45.7%71 / 157 vs 365 / 798Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.536.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CernikKasinski 1.73/Cernik 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Cernik · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Cernik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LAug 17 · 13:00Z. Kasinski—891191J. Cernik—11112113
LAug 17 · 11:00Z. Kasinski—3330J. Cernik—1111113
LAug 15 · 08:30Z. Kasinski—8950J. Cernik—1111113
Z. Kasinski10
WSep 1 · 13:30Z. Kasinski1.401111113J. Cernik2.759670WSep 1 · 12:30Z. Kasinski1.67114511113A. Hejduk2.1081111562WSep 1 · 11:00Z. Kasinski1.801111113J. Cernik1.918860WSep 1 · 10:00C. Havrda2.209111081Z. Kasinski1.6111712113WAug 28 · 13:00J. Cernik2.0010650Z. Kasinski1.731211113LAug 28 · 12:30Z. Kasinski1.53115551L. Novotny2.3891111113LAug 28 · 10:00J. Strnad2.6361111113Z. Kasinski1.44114871LAug 17 · 13:00J. Cernik2.0011112113Z. Kasinski1.73891191LAug 17 · 12:30Z. Kasinski1.731191591V. Sr2.0081117113LAug 17 · 11:00Z. Kasinski1.573330J. Cernik2.251111113
J. Cernik10
LSep 4 · 03:01A. Hejduk1.631112113J. Cernik2.1341030WSep 4 · 02:00J. Strnad3.00161013972J. Cernik1.3614121111113LSep 4 · 24:30J. Cernik3.4081310J. Grohsgott1.301115113LSep 3 · 23:00J. Cernik1.915770A. Hejduk1.801111113LSep 3 · 22:00M. Vaclavik1.401111133J. Cernik2.7585110LSep 1 · 13:30Z. Kasinski1.401111113J. Cernik2.759670LSep 1 · 11:00Z. Kasinski1.801111113J. Cernik1.918860LAug 28 · 13:00J. Cernik2.0010650Z. Kasinski1.731211113WAug 17 · 13:00J. Cernik2.0011112113Z. Kasinski1.73891191WAug 17 · 11:00Z. Kasinski1.573330J. Cernik2.251111113
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