TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13070466
Played Sep 3Finished
Milan Smesny
Home
1.30
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
118611711711––
Jaroslav Strnad 1961
Away
3.40
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 7
How it is goingMilan Smesny above · Jaroslav Strnad 1961 below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 72 set 4, 7-11
72 points played in total.
H2H Milan Smesny 34–14 Jaroslav Strnad 1961 Jaroslav Strnad 1961 has won 14 of their 48 meetings.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Smesny)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Strnad form (0%) is below what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSmesny 1.30 / Strnad 3.40
Signal prob.77% / 23%
Edge (Smesny)+4.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13070466
Smesny1.30
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 46 of 72
Up 2–0, closes it95% 20 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it84% 27 of 32
Strnad3.40
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog28% won 23 of 81
Down 0–1, comes back18% 10 of 56
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 31
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSmesny8wins
AwayStrnad2wins
1 of 10 to a deciderSmesny leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSmesny83.3%5 of 6
AwayStrnad25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Smesny6Strnad4n = 10Smesny took 6 of 10
S2Smesny8Strnad2n = 10Smesny took 8 of 10
S3Smesny8Strnad2n = 10Smesny took 8 of 10
S4Smesny4Strnad1n = 5Smesny took 4 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSmesnyStrnadSmesny − StrnadBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.526.4+11.1per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSmesnyStrnadBasisWin rate · lifetime190 / 365 vs 155 / 36852.1%42.1%190 / 365 vs 155 / 368Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.235.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SmesnySmesny 1.30/Strnad 3.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
76.7%
Smesny · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Strnad won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 3 · 08:30M. Smesny—1111123J. Strnad—52100
WSep 1 · 06:30M. Smesny—71111113J. Strnad—117941
WAug 25 · 12:30M. Smesny—1511113J. Strnad—13630
WAug 24 · 13:28M. Smesny—11811123J. Strnad—4116101
LAug 24 · 11:30M. Smesny—121199102J. Strnad—1081111123
WAug 5 · 11:00M. Smesny—61111113J. Strnad—114191
WAug 3 · 08:30M. Smesny—91111113J. Strnad—115421
WJul 21 · 08:30M. Smesny—1111113J. Strnad—2380
LJul 19 · 13:30M. Smesny—8880J. Strnad—1111113
WJul 19 · 12:30M. Smesny—1111113J. Strnad—5580
M. Smesny10
WSep 6 · 09:00M. Smesny1.8091113113L. Novotny1.911181191LSep 6 · 08:30M. Smesny2.751041181M. Vrabec1.4012117113LSep 6 · 07:00M. Smesny1.57111191162J. Martinek2.25831113113WSep 6 · 06:00L. Novotny2.00111111982M. Smesny1.73913911113WSep 3 · 08:30J. Strnad3.2552100M. Smesny1.331111123LSep 3 · 07:30M. Smesny1.5010560L. Novotny2.501211113LSep 3 · 06:30M. Vrabec1.4411116113M. Smesny2.63691161WSep 1 · 09:29M. Smesny1.5711126113L. Novotny2.257101191WSep 1 · 08:30L. Novotny2.2511119772M. Smesny1.57561111113WSep 1 · 07:30M. Smesny2.101111113J. Cernik1.678990
J. Strnad10
LSep 4 · 02:00J. Strnad3.00161013972J. Cernik1.3614121111113LSep 4 · 01:00J. Strnad1.8339130M. Vaclavik1.831111153LSep 4 · 24:00A. Hejduk1.331211113J. Strnad3.2510830LSep 3 · 22:30J. Grohsgott1.201111113J. Strnad4.334460LSep 3 · 08:30J. Strnad3.2552100M. Smesny1.331111123LSep 3 · 07:00J. Strnad2.75481161M. Vrabec1.4011116113LSep 3 · 06:00L. Novotny1.5711117113J. Strnad2.25541151LSep 1 · 09:03J. Cernik1.5381111113J. Strnad2.38113891LSep 1 · 08:00J. Cernik1.441111113J. Strnad2.638380LSep 1 · 07:00L. Novotny1.671111113J. Strnad2.106580
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