TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13091712
Played Sep 8Finished
Jiri Grohsgott
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
711119119119––
Ludek Madle
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:57 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLudek Madle to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJiri Grohsgott above · Ludek Madle below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 78 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Ludek Madle at 54.0%
78 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Grohsgott 37–34 Ludek Madle Ludek Madle has won 34 of their 71 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:57What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Madle
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
37-34 in 71
Grohsgott
Correct
gap of 3 in 71, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Grohsgott 1200 vs Madle 1273
Madle
Wrong
both rated, 73 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Grohsgott 40% vs Madle 60%
Madle
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Grohsgott 40% vs Madle 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Grohsgott -2 · Madle -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Madle) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGrohsgott 2.25 / Madle 1.57
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Madle)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13091712
Grohsgott2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 140 of 372
Down 0–1, comes back21% 42 of 196
Down 0–2, comes back9% 10 of 114
Madle1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite54% won 69 of 127
Up 2–0, closes it89% 40 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it68% 52 of 76
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGrohsgott3wins
AwayMadle7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderMadle leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGrohsgott33.3%1 of 3
AwayMadle71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Grohsgott3Madle7n = 10Madle took 7 of 10
S2Grohsgott4Madle6n = 10Madle took 6 of 10
S3Grohsgott4Madle6n = 10Madle took 6 of 10
S4Grohsgott1Madle7n = 8Madle took 7 of 8
S5Grohsgott3Madle1n = 4Grohsgott took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricGrohsgottMadleG − MBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match36.243.3−7.1per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGrohsgottMadleBasisWin rate · lifetime751 / 1540 vs 264 / 54548.8%48.4%751 / 1540 vs 264 / 545Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.238.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MadleGrohsgott 2.25/Madle 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.3%
Madle · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Grohsgott won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 24 · 08:58J. Grohsgott—614811113L. Madle—111211782
WAug 24 · 07:30J. Grohsgott—8111114113L. Madle—11991682
LAug 21 · 07:00J. Grohsgott—6420L. Madle—1111113
WAug 20 · 08:59J. Grohsgott—118117123L. Madle—711511102
LAug 20 · 07:00J. Grohsgott—6560L. Madle—1111113
LAug 13 · 06:00J. Grohsgott—1111791L. Madle—13811113
LAug 11 · 08:00J. Grohsgott—144691L. Madle—121111113
LAug 6 · 06:00J. Grohsgott—971141L. Madle—11117113
LJul 22 · 06:30J. Grohsgott—381191L. Madle—11116113
LJul 16 · 22:00J. Grohsgott—11169552L. Madle—7141111113
J. Grohsgott10
WSep 8 · 12:00J. Grohsgott1.7311611113P. Sudek2.00511451WSep 8 · 11:30J. Svec2.10781151J. Grohsgott1.6711119113LSep 5 · 17:30J. Grohsgott3.00101511642M. Regner1.341213811113LSep 5 · 16:30M. Regner1.25812118113J. Grohsgott3.75111071172WSep 5 · 15:30J. Grohsgott1.671111133V. Stach2.1038110WSep 5 · 14:30M. Syroha1.91911111092J. Grohsgott1.80113912113LSep 5 · 13:00J. Grohsgott1.959530L. Havrda1.751111113LSep 5 · 12:30L. Havrda1.831111113J. Grohsgott1.838750LSep 5 · 11:30J. Grohsgott1.809119111M. Syroha1.9111811133WSep 5 · 10:30V. Stach2.1011470J. Grohsgott1.671311113
L. Madle10
LSep 8 · 11:00L. Madle3.506119101P. Sudek1.2811511123LAug 25 · 13:29L. Madle1.53812661M. Lubas2.38111011113WAug 25 · 12:00L. Madle1.57111214113M. Lubas2.257141271WAug 25 · 11:30J. Svec1.6110111171L. Madle2.2012813113WAug 25 · 10:00L. Madle4.0011911113M. Regner1.22711691LAug 24 · 08:58J. Grohsgott2.20614811113L. Madle1.61111211782LAug 24 · 08:30J. Svec1.73711118113L. Madle2.0011541142LAug 24 · 07:30L. Madle1.4411991682J. Grohsgott2.638111114113LAug 24 · 06:30J. Potensky2.20811911113L. Madle1.6111711572WAug 21 · 09:29M. Chalupnicek2.1015137592L. Madle1.6713111111113
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