TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13092971
Played Sep 8Finished
Ludek Madle
Home
3.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
6111159111012––
Petr Sudek
Away
1.29
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:37 and never touched — 73.1% is still 73.1%
Graded at full timePetr Sudek to win
73.1%
73.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLudek Madle above · Petr Sudek below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 75 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Petr Sudek at 73.1%
75 points played in total.
H2H Ludek Madle 0–1 Petr Sudek Ludek Madle has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:37What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Sudek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Madle 1259 vs Sudek 1303
Sudek
Correct
both rated, 44 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Madle 60% vs Sudek 40%
Madle
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Madle 40% vs Sudek 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Madle -2 · Sudek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Sudek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sudek form (40%) is below what odds imply (78%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMadle 3.50 / Sudek 1.28
Signal prob.27% / 73%
Edge (Sudek)-0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13092971
Madle3.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog42% won 44 of 105
Down 0–1, comes back15% 6 of 39
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 27
Sudek1.28
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite50% won 15 of 30
Up 2–0, closes it91% 10 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it65% 13 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeMadle0wins
AwaySudek1wins
Sudek leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricMadleSudekM − SBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match36.042.0−6.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMadleSudekBasisWin rate · lifetime261 / 542 vs 86 / 18048.2%47.8%261 / 542 vs 86 / 180Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SudekMadle 3.50/Sudek 1.28
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.1%
Sudek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sudek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 10 · 08:30L. Madle—711991P. Sudek—11911113
L. Madle10
LSep 8 · 12:30L. Madle2.257890J. Svec1.571111113LSep 8 · 10:00J. Grohsgott2.2571111113L. Madle1.57119991LAug 25 · 13:29L. Madle1.53812661M. Lubas2.38111011113WAug 25 · 12:00L. Madle1.57111214113M. Lubas2.257141271WAug 25 · 11:30J. Svec1.6110111171L. Madle2.2012813113WAug 25 · 10:00L. Madle4.0011911113M. Regner1.22711691LAug 24 · 08:58J. Grohsgott2.20614811113L. Madle1.61111211782LAug 24 · 08:30J. Svec1.73711118113L. Madle2.0011541142LAug 24 · 07:30L. Madle1.4411991682J. Grohsgott2.638111114113LAug 24 · 06:30J. Potensky2.20811911113L. Madle1.6111711572
P. Sudek10
LSep 8 · 12:00J. Grohsgott1.7311611113P. Sudek2.00511451WSep 8 · 10:30P. Sudek1.33117711113J. Svec3.2561111732LSep 4 · 09:00P. Sudek1.401191481M. Chalupnicek2.7581116113WSep 4 · 08:00M. Chalupnicek2.637101121P. Sudek1.4411125113LSep 4 · 07:00J. Svec3.50711119113P. Sudek1.2811881192LSep 4 · 06:30P. Sudek1.8011991192Z. Drabek1.91611117113WSep 1 · 09:28P. Sudek1.571111123M. Chalupnicek2.2545100LSep 1 · 08:00M. Chalupnicek2.251151011133P. Sudek1.57511126112WSep 1 · 07:00J. Svec3.5010111161P. Sudek1.2812913113WSep 1 · 06:30P. Sudek2.0081111143J. Strnad1.731189121
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