TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13091838
Played Sep 8Finished
Ludek Madle
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711811911––––
Jiri Svec
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:38 and never touched — 57.1% is still 57.1%
Graded at full timeJiri Svec to win
57.1%
57.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLudek Madle above · Jiri Svec below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 57 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Jiri Svec at 57.1%
57 points played in total.
H2H Ludek Madle 21–32 Jiri Svec Ludek Madle has won 21 of their 53 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:38What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Svec
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-32 in 53
Svec
Correct
gap of 11 in 53, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Madle 1249 vs Svec 1230
Madle
Wrong
both rated, 19 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Madle 40% vs Svec 0%
Madle
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Madle 30% vs Svec 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Madle -3 · Svec -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Svec) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Svec form (0%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMadle 2.25 / Svec 1.57
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Svec)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13091838
Madle2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog42% won 44 of 105
Down 0–1, comes back15% 6 of 39
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 27
Svec1.57
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 58 of 92
Up 2–0, closes it94% 32 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it82% 42 of 51
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMadle4wins
AwaySvec6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSvec leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMadle42.9%3 of 7
AwaySvec66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Madle7Svec3n = 10Madle took 7 of 10
S2Madle3Svec7n = 10Svec took 7 of 10
S3Madle3Svec7n = 10Svec took 7 of 10
S4Madle4Svec5n = 9Svec took 5 of 9
S5Madle2Svec2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMadleSvecM − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match41.343.3−2.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMadleSvecBasisWin rate · lifetime261 / 543 vs 396 / 85148.1%46.5%261 / 543 vs 396 / 851Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SvecMadle 2.25/Svec 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.1%
Svec · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Svec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 25 · 11:30L. Madle—12813113J. Svec—10111171
LAug 24 · 08:30L. Madle—11541142J. Svec—711118113
LAug 11 · 09:30L. Madle—89100J. Svec—1111123
LAug 11 · 06:30L. Madle—711841J. Svec—11711113
WJul 30 · 11:00L. Madle—1510118133J. Svec—1312911112
WJul 20 · 09:29L. Madle—111113113J. Svec—1331161
LJul 20 · 08:00L. Madle—1410681J. Svec—121211113
WJul 15 · 08:30L. Madle—111169113J. Svec—97111182
LJul 14 · 08:30L. Madle—118991J. Svec—31111113
LJun 24 · 08:30L. Madle—118141172J. Svec—811169113
L. Madle10
LSep 8 · 12:59J. Svec1.573111411113L. Madle2.2511316892LSep 8 · 11:00L. Madle3.506119101P. Sudek1.2811511123LSep 8 · 10:00J. Grohsgott2.2571111113L. Madle1.57119991LAug 25 · 13:29L. Madle1.53812661M. Lubas2.38111011113WAug 25 · 12:00L. Madle1.57111214113M. Lubas2.257141271WAug 25 · 11:30J. Svec1.6110111171L. Madle2.2012813113WAug 25 · 10:00L. Madle4.0011911113M. Regner1.22711691LAug 24 · 08:58J. Grohsgott2.20614811113L. Madle1.61111211782LAug 24 · 08:30J. Svec1.73711118113L. Madle2.0011541142LAug 24 · 07:30L. Madle1.4411991682J. Grohsgott2.638111114113
J. Svec10
WSep 8 · 12:59J. Svec1.573111411113L. Madle2.2511316892LSep 8 · 11:30J. Svec2.10781151J. Grohsgott1.6711119113LSep 8 · 10:30P. Sudek1.33117711113J. Svec3.2561111732LSep 7 · 13:09M. Chalupnicek1.3011117123J. Svec3.404411101LSep 7 · 12:30J. Strnad1.2210131110113J. Svec4.00121151272LSep 7 · 11:30J. Svec2.101012141142M. Chalupnicek1.671210169113LSep 7 · 10:30P. Kulhanek1.4411138113J. Svec2.637111161WSep 4 · 09:30J. Svec2.501111113Z. Drabek1.503770LAug 25 · 11:30J. Svec1.6110111171L. Madle2.2012813113WAug 24 · 08:30J. Svec1.73711118113L. Madle2.0011541142
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