TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12480908
Played Aug 24Finished
Jiri Svec
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
711115114811114
Ludek Madle
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:37 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeJiri Svec to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJiri Svec above · Ludek Madle below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-4
Point 83 set 5, 11-4 — our read held Jiri Svec at 54.5%
83 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Svec 31–20 Ludek Madle Ludek Madle has won 20 of their 51 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:37What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Svec
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
31-20 in 51
Svec
Correct
gap of 11 in 51, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Svec 1270 vs Madle 1255
Svec
Correct
both rated, 14 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Svec 40% vs Madle 60%
Madle
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Svec 60% vs Madle 40%
Svec
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Svec -1 · Madle -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Svec)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Svec form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSvec 1.73 / Madle 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Svec)+1.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12480908
Svec1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite62% won 55 of 89
Up 2–0, closes it94% 30 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it81% 39 of 48
Madle2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 43 of 107
Down 0–1, comes back14% 6 of 43
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSvec6wins
AwayMadle4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSvec leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSvec75%3 of 4
AwayMadle50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Svec4Madle6n = 10Madle took 6 of 10
S2Svec6Madle4n = 10Svec took 6 of 10
S3Svec8Madle2n = 10Svec took 8 of 10
S4Svec5Madle3n = 8Svec took 5 of 8
S5Svec1Madle2n = 3Madle took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSvecMadleS − MBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.639.7+0.9per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSvecMadleBasisWin rate · lifetime377 / 811 vs 261 / 53946.5%48.4%377 / 811 vs 261 / 539Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SvecSvec 1.73/Madle 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.7%
Svec · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Svec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 11 · 09:30J. Svec—1111123L. Madle—89100
WAug 11 · 06:30J. Svec—11711113L. Madle—711841
LJul 30 · 11:00J. Svec—1312911112L. Madle—1510118133
LJul 20 · 09:29J. Svec—1331161L. Madle—111113113
WJul 20 · 08:00J. Svec—121211113L. Madle—1410681
LJul 15 · 08:30J. Svec—97111182L. Madle—111169113
WJul 14 · 08:30J. Svec—31111113L. Madle—118991
WJun 24 · 08:30J. Svec—811169113L. Madle—118141172
LMay 25 · 08:30J. Svec—461161L. Madle—11117113
WMay 19 · 09:30J. Svec—1111113L. Madle—5990
J. Svec10
WSep 4 · 09:30J. Svec2.501111113Z. Drabek1.503770LSep 4 · 08:30J. Svec2.5012761182Z. Drabek1.501011115113WSep 4 · 07:00J. Svec3.50711119113P. Sudek1.2811881192WSep 4 · 06:00M. Chalupnicek1.6176111272J. Svec2.201111910113WSep 2 · 09:28L. Forman1.80812117102J. Svec1.911110711123LSep 2 · 08:00J. Svec1.9111117972J. Grohsgott1.80991111113WSep 2 · 07:30L. Forman1.91711118102J. Svec1.80116711123WSep 2 · 06:00J. Svec1.441111143D. Mutl2.6394120LSep 1 · 08:58J. Strnad1.50911118113J. Svec2.5011471162LSep 1 · 08:30J. Svec2.3812780J. Strnad1.531411113
L. Madle10
LAug 25 · 13:29L. Madle1.53812661M. Lubas2.38111011113WAug 25 · 12:00L. Madle1.57111214113M. Lubas2.257141271WAug 25 · 11:30J. Svec1.6110111171L. Madle2.2012813113WAug 25 · 10:00L. Madle4.0011911113M. Regner1.22711691LAug 24 · 08:58J. Grohsgott2.20614811113L. Madle1.61111211782LAug 24 · 07:30L. Madle1.4411991682J. Grohsgott2.638111114113LAug 24 · 06:30J. Potensky2.20811911113L. Madle1.6111711572WAug 21 · 09:29M. Chalupnicek2.1015137592L. Madle1.6713111111113WAug 21 · 08:00M. Chalupnicek1.9191111172L. Madle1.80111187113WAug 21 · 07:00J. Grohsgott2.386420L. Madle1.531111113
Upcoming Matches
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L. Madle
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