TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13003479
Played Aug 25Finished
Jiri Svec
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
10121181113711––
Ludek Madle
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:09 and never touched — 60.7% is still 60.7%
Graded at full timeJiri Svec to win
60.7%
60.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJiri Svec above · Ludek Madle below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 83 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Jiri Svec at 60.7%
83 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Svec 32–21 Ludek Madle Ludek Madle has won 21 of their 53 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:09What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Svec
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
32-21 in 53
Svec
Wrong
gap of 11 in 53, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Svec 1245 vs Madle 1258
Madle
Correct
both rated, 13 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Svec 60% vs Madle 20%
Svec
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Svec 60% vs Madle 40%
Svec
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Svec -1 · Madle +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Svec) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Madle form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSvec 1.61 / Madle 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Svec)+1.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13003479
Svec1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 56 of 91
Up 2–0, closes it94% 30 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it81% 39 of 48
Madle2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog40% won 43 of 107
Down 0–1, comes back14% 6 of 42
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSvec6wins
AwayMadle4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSvec leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSvec66.7%2 of 3
AwayMadle42.9%3 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Svec3Madle7n = 10Madle took 7 of 10
S2Svec7Madle3n = 10Svec took 7 of 10
S3Svec7Madle3n = 10Svec took 7 of 10
S4Svec5Madle4n = 9Svec took 5 of 9
S5Svec2Madle2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSvecMadleS − MBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match43.341.3+2.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSvecMadleBasisWin rate · lifetime379 / 815 vs 263 / 54346.5%48.4%379 / 815 vs 263 / 543Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SvecSvec 1.61/Madle 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.7%
Svec · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Madle won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 25 · 11:30J. Svec—10111171L. Madle—12813113
WAug 24 · 08:30J. Svec—711118113L. Madle—11541142
WAug 11 · 09:30J. Svec—1111123L. Madle—89100
WAug 11 · 06:30J. Svec—11711113L. Madle—711841
LJul 30 · 11:00J. Svec—1312911112L. Madle—1510118133
LJul 20 · 09:29J. Svec—1331161L. Madle—111113113
WJul 20 · 08:00J. Svec—121211113L. Madle—1410681
LJul 15 · 08:30J. Svec—97111182L. Madle—111169113
WJul 14 · 08:30J. Svec—31111113L. Madle—118991
WJun 24 · 08:30J. Svec—811169113L. Madle—118141172
J. Svec10
WSep 4 · 09:30J. Svec2.501111113Z. Drabek1.503770LSep 4 · 08:30J. Svec2.5012761182Z. Drabek1.501011115113WSep 4 · 07:00J. Svec3.50711119113P. Sudek1.2811881192WSep 4 · 06:00M. Chalupnicek1.6176111272J. Svec2.201111910113WSep 2 · 09:28L. Forman1.80812117102J. Svec1.911110711123LSep 2 · 08:00J. Svec1.9111117972J. Grohsgott1.80991111113WSep 2 · 07:30L. Forman1.91711118102J. Svec1.80116711123WSep 2 · 06:00J. Svec1.441111143D. Mutl2.6394120LSep 1 · 08:58J. Strnad1.50911118113J. Svec2.5011471162LSep 1 · 08:30J. Svec2.3812780J. Strnad1.531411113
L. Madle10
LAug 25 · 13:29L. Madle1.53812661M. Lubas2.38111011113WAug 25 · 12:00L. Madle1.57111214113M. Lubas2.257141271WAug 25 · 10:00L. Madle4.0011911113M. Regner1.22711691LAug 24 · 08:58J. Grohsgott2.20614811113L. Madle1.61111211782LAug 24 · 08:30J. Svec1.73711118113L. Madle2.0011541142LAug 24 · 07:30L. Madle1.4411991682J. Grohsgott2.638111114113LAug 24 · 06:30J. Potensky2.20811911113L. Madle1.6111711572WAug 21 · 09:29M. Chalupnicek2.1015137592L. Madle1.6713111111113WAug 21 · 08:00M. Chalupnicek1.9191111172L. Madle1.80111187113WAug 21 · 07:00J. Grohsgott2.386420L. Madle1.531111113
Upcoming Matches
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