TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12480910
Played Aug 24Finished
Ludek Madle
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1189119111614811
Jiri Grohsgott
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:38 and never touched — 54.3% is still 54.3%
Graded at full timeLudek Madle to win
54.3%
54.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingLudek Madle above · Jiri Grohsgott below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 16-14
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 108 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Ludek Madle at 54.3%
108 points played in total.
H2H Ludek Madle 34–37 Jiri Grohsgott Ludek Madle has won 34 of their 71 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:38What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Madle
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
34-37 in 71
Grohsgott
Correct
gap of 3 in 71, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Madle 1273 vs Grohsgott 1151
Madle
Wrong
both rated, 122 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Madle 60% vs Grohsgott 40%
Madle
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Madle 50% vs Grohsgott 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Madle -1 · Grohsgott -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Madle) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMadle 1.44 / Grohsgott 2.63
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Madle)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12480910
Madle1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite53% won 69 of 130
Up 2–0, closes it89% 40 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it68% 52 of 77
Grohsgott2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog38% won 140 of 371
Down 0–1, comes back21% 41 of 196
Down 0–2, comes back8% 9 of 116
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMadle7wins
AwayGrohsgott3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderMadle leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMadle71.4%5 of 7
AwayGrohsgott33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Madle7Grohsgott3n = 10Madle took 7 of 10
S2Madle6Grohsgott4n = 10Madle took 6 of 10
S3Madle6Grohsgott4n = 10Madle took 6 of 10
S4Madle7Grohsgott1n = 8Madle took 7 of 8
S5Madle1Grohsgott3n = 4Grohsgott took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMadleGrohsgottM − GBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match43.336.2+7.1per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMadleGrohsgottBasisWin rate · lifetime264 / 545 vs 749 / 154548.4%48.5%264 / 545 vs 749 / 1545Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.036.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MadleMadle 1.44/Grohsgott 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.9%
Madle · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Grohsgott won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 24 · 08:58L. Madle—111211782J. Grohsgott—614811113
LAug 24 · 07:30L. Madle—11991682J. Grohsgott—8111114113
WAug 21 · 07:00L. Madle—1111113J. Grohsgott—6420
LAug 20 · 08:59L. Madle—711511102J. Grohsgott—118117123
WAug 20 · 07:00L. Madle—1111113J. Grohsgott—6560
WAug 13 · 06:00L. Madle—13811113J. Grohsgott—1111791
WAug 11 · 08:00L. Madle—121111113J. Grohsgott—144691
WAug 6 · 06:00L. Madle—11117113J. Grohsgott—971141
WJul 22 · 06:30L. Madle—11116113J. Grohsgott—381191
WJul 16 · 22:00L. Madle—7141111113J. Grohsgott—11169552
L. Madle10
LAug 25 · 13:29L. Madle1.53812661M. Lubas2.38111011113WAug 25 · 12:00L. Madle1.57111214113M. Lubas2.257141271WAug 25 · 11:30J. Svec1.6110111171L. Madle2.2012813113WAug 25 · 10:00L. Madle4.0011911113M. Regner1.22711691LAug 24 · 08:58J. Grohsgott2.20614811113L. Madle1.61111211782LAug 24 · 08:30J. Svec1.73711118113L. Madle2.0011541142LAug 24 · 06:30J. Potensky2.20811911113L. Madle1.6111711572WAug 21 · 09:29M. Chalupnicek2.1015137592L. Madle1.6713111111113WAug 21 · 08:00M. Chalupnicek1.9191111172L. Madle1.80111187113WAug 21 · 07:00J. Grohsgott2.386420L. Madle1.531111113
J. Grohsgott10
LSep 5 · 17:30J. Grohsgott3.00101511642M. Regner1.341213811113LSep 5 · 16:30M. Regner1.25812118113J. Grohsgott3.75111071172WSep 5 · 15:30J. Grohsgott1.671111133V. Stach2.1038110WSep 5 · 14:30M. Syroha1.91911111092J. Grohsgott1.80113912113LSep 5 · 13:00J. Grohsgott1.959530L. Havrda1.751111113LSep 5 · 12:30L. Havrda1.831111113J. Grohsgott1.838750LSep 5 · 11:30J. Grohsgott1.809119111M. Syroha1.9111811133WSep 5 · 10:30V. Stach2.1011470J. Grohsgott1.671311113WAug 24 · 08:58J. Grohsgott2.20614811113L. Madle1.61111211782LAug 21 · 07:00J. Grohsgott2.386420L. Madle1.531111113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.