TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13001176
Played Aug 24Finished
Jiri Grohsgott
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
6111412811117118
Ludek Madle
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingJiri Grohsgott above · Ludek Madle below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 99 set 5, 11-8
99 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Grohsgott 36–34 Ludek Madle Ludek Madle has won 34 of their 70 meetings.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Madle)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Madle form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGrohsgott 2.20 / Madle 1.61
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Madle)+3.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13001176
Grohsgott2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog37% won 138 of 372
Down 0–1, comes back20% 39 of 196
Down 0–2, comes back8% 9 of 118
Madle1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite55% won 71 of 129
Up 2–0, closes it88% 42 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it70% 53 of 76
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGrohsgott3wins
AwayMadle7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderMadle leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGrohsgott50%2 of 4
AwayMadle83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Grohsgott4Madle6n = 10Madle took 6 of 10
S2Grohsgott3Madle7n = 10Madle took 7 of 10
S3Grohsgott4Madle6n = 10Madle took 6 of 10
S4Grohsgott1Madle7n = 8Madle took 7 of 8
S5Grohsgott3Madle1n = 4Grohsgott took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricGrohsgottMadleG − MBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.043.0−7.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGrohsgottMadleBasisWin rate · lifetime750 / 1548 vs 261 / 54048.5%48.3%750 / 1548 vs 261 / 540Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.238.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MadleGrohsgott 2.20/Madle 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.7%
Madle · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Grohsgott won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 24 · 07:30J. Grohsgott—8111114113L. Madle—11991682
LAug 21 · 07:00J. Grohsgott—6420L. Madle—1111113
WAug 20 · 08:59J. Grohsgott—118117123L. Madle—711511102
LAug 20 · 07:00J. Grohsgott—6560L. Madle—1111113
LAug 13 · 06:00J. Grohsgott—1111791L. Madle—13811113
LAug 11 · 08:00J. Grohsgott—144691L. Madle—121111113
LAug 6 · 06:00J. Grohsgott—971141L. Madle—11117113
LJul 22 · 06:30J. Grohsgott—381191L. Madle—11116113
LJul 16 · 22:00J. Grohsgott—11169552L. Madle—7141111113
WJul 14 · 09:00J. Grohsgott—118711113L. Madle—71111982
J. Grohsgott10
LSep 5 · 17:30J. Grohsgott3.00101511642M. Regner1.341213811113LSep 5 · 16:30M. Regner1.25812118113J. Grohsgott3.75111071172WSep 5 · 15:30J. Grohsgott1.671111133V. Stach2.1038110WSep 5 · 14:30M. Syroha1.91911111092J. Grohsgott1.80113912113LSep 5 · 13:00J. Grohsgott1.959530L. Havrda1.751111113LSep 5 · 12:30L. Havrda1.831111113J. Grohsgott1.838750LSep 5 · 11:30J. Grohsgott1.809119111M. Syroha1.9111811133WSep 5 · 10:30V. Stach2.1011470J. Grohsgott1.671311113LSep 4 · 03:30J. Grohsgott2.1091111862M. Vaclavik1.65119911113WSep 4 · 01:30J. Grohsgott1.671111113A. Hejduk2.106880
L. Madle10
LAug 25 · 13:29L. Madle1.53812661M. Lubas2.38111011113WAug 25 · 12:00L. Madle1.57111214113M. Lubas2.257141271WAug 25 · 11:30J. Svec1.6110111171L. Madle2.2012813113WAug 25 · 10:00L. Madle4.0011911113M. Regner1.22711691LAug 24 · 08:30J. Svec1.73711118113L. Madle2.0011541142LAug 24 · 07:30L. Madle1.4411991682J. Grohsgott2.638111114113LAug 24 · 06:30J. Potensky2.20811911113L. Madle1.6111711572WAug 21 · 09:29M. Chalupnicek2.1015137592L. Madle1.6713111111113WAug 21 · 08:00M. Chalupnicek1.9191111172L. Madle1.80111187113WAug 21 · 07:00J. Grohsgott2.386420L. Madle1.531111113
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