TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13091841
Played Sep 8Finished
Jiri Svec
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 5
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711811119511––
Jiri Grohsgott
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:38 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJiri Svec to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJiri Svec above · Jiri Grohsgott below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 73 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Jiri Svec at 54.0%
73 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Svec 50–86 Jiri Grohsgott Jiri Svec has won 50 of their 136 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:38What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Grohsgott
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
50-86 in 136
Grohsgott
Correct
gap of 36 in 136, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Svec 1242 vs Grohsgott 1214
Svec
Wrong
both rated, 28 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Svec 0% vs Grohsgott 60%
Grohsgott
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Svec 40% vs Grohsgott 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Svec -5 · Grohsgott +1
Svec
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Grohsgott) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Svec form (0%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSvec 2.10 / Grohsgott 1.67
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Svec)+1.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13091841
Svec2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog36% won 57 of 158
Down 0–1, comes back17% 14 of 84
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 54
Grohsgott1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite65% won 158 of 245
Up 2–0, closes it96% 91 of 95
Up 1–0, closes it83% 119 of 144
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSvec2wins
AwayGrohsgott8wins
5 of 10 to a deciderGrohsgott leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSvec33.3%2 of 6
AwayGrohsgott100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Svec6Grohsgott4n = 10Svec took 6 of 10
S2Svec6Grohsgott4n = 10Svec took 6 of 10
S3Svec5Grohsgott5n = 10split evenly
S4Svec1Grohsgott6n = 7Grohsgott took 6 of 7
S5Svec0Grohsgott5n = 5Grohsgott took 5 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSvecGrohsgottS − GBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match35.038.4−3.4per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSvecGrohsgottBasisWin rate · lifetime396 / 850 vs 751 / 153746.6%48.9%396 / 850 vs 751 / 1537Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.936.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GrohsgottSvec 2.10/Grohsgott 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Grohsgott · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Grohsgott won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 24 · 06:00J. Svec—1112113J. Grohsgott—71040
WAug 14 · 06:00J. Svec—1111113J. Grohsgott—3770
LAug 11 · 07:30J. Svec—931191J. Grohsgott—11116113
LAug 7 · 14:00J. Svec—11114452J. Grohsgott—851111113
LJul 29 · 18:30J. Svec—5740J. Grohsgott—1111113
LJul 21 · 11:30J. Svec—11711842J. Grohsgott—711311113
LJul 18 · 16:30J. Svec—11136862J. Grohsgott—9111111113
LJul 14 · 07:30J. Svec—61151192J. Grohsgott—113119113
LJun 27 · 19:00J. Svec—761171J. Grohsgott—11117113
LJun 26 · 16:30J. Svec—111161042J. Grohsgott—761112113
J. Svec10
WSep 8 · 12:30L. Madle2.257890J. Svec1.571111113LSep 8 · 10:30P. Sudek1.33117711113J. Svec3.2561111732LSep 7 · 13:09M. Chalupnicek1.3011117123J. Svec3.404411101LSep 7 · 12:30J. Strnad1.2210131110113J. Svec4.00121151272LSep 7 · 11:30J. Svec2.101012141142M. Chalupnicek1.671210169113LSep 7 · 10:30P. Kulhanek1.4411138113J. Svec2.637111161WSep 4 · 09:30J. Svec2.501111113Z. Drabek1.503770LSep 4 · 08:30J. Svec2.5012761182Z. Drabek1.501011115113WSep 4 · 07:00J. Svec3.50711119113P. Sudek1.2811881192WSep 4 · 06:00M. Chalupnicek1.6176111272J. Svec2.201111910113
J. Grohsgott10
WSep 8 · 12:00J. Grohsgott1.7311611113P. Sudek2.00511451WSep 8 · 10:00J. Grohsgott2.2571111113L. Madle1.57119991LSep 5 · 17:30J. Grohsgott3.00101511642M. Regner1.341213811113LSep 5 · 16:30M. Regner1.25812118113J. Grohsgott3.75111071172WSep 5 · 15:30J. Grohsgott1.671111133V. Stach2.1038110WSep 5 · 14:30M. Syroha1.91911111092J. Grohsgott1.80113912113LSep 5 · 13:00J. Grohsgott1.959530L. Havrda1.751111113LSep 5 · 12:30L. Havrda1.831111113J. Grohsgott1.838750LSep 5 · 11:30J. Grohsgott1.809119111M. Syroha1.9111811133WSep 5 · 10:30V. Stach2.1011470J. Grohsgott1.671311113
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