TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13092879
Played Sep 8Finished
Jiri Grohsgott
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
115611114115––
Petr Sudek
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:38 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeJiri Grohsgott to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJiri Grohsgott above · Petr Sudek below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 64 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Jiri Grohsgott at 57.7%
64 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Grohsgott 3–1 Petr Sudek Petr Sudek has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:38What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Grohsgott
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Grohsgott
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Grohsgott 1214 vs Sudek 1313
Sudek
Wrong
both rated, 99 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Grohsgott 60% vs Sudek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Grohsgott 40% vs Sudek 60%
Sudek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Grohsgott +1 · Sudek +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Grohsgott) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGrohsgott 1.73 / Sudek 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Grohsgott)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13092879
Grohsgott1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite65% won 158 of 245
Up 2–0, closes it96% 91 of 95
Up 1–0, closes it83% 119 of 144
Sudek2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog29% won 6 of 21
Down 0–1, comes back9% 1 of 11
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeGrohsgott3wins
AwaySudek1wins
1 of 4 to a deciderGrohsgott leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGrohsgott66.7%2 of 3
AwaySudekn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Grohsgott3Sudek1n = 4Grohsgott took 3 of 4
S2Grohsgott3Sudek1n = 4Grohsgott took 3 of 4
S3Grohsgott4Sudek0n = 4Grohsgott took 4 of 4
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home250%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricGrohsgottSudekG − SBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match41.235.5+5.7per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGrohsgottSudekBasisWin rate · lifetime751 / 1537 vs 87 / 18148.9%48.1%751 / 1537 vs 87 / 181Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.237.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GrohsgottGrohsgott 1.73/Sudek 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Grohsgott · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Grohsgott won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WJun 11 · 12:00J. Grohsgott—1212113P. Sudek—101040
WJun 2 · 06:30J. Grohsgott—1111113P. Sudek—6680
WMay 15 · 10:00J. Grohsgott—131115113P. Sudek—1561371
LApr 23 · 11:30J. Grohsgott—127112152P. Sudek—1011811173
J. Grohsgott10
WSep 8 · 11:30J. Svec2.10781151J. Grohsgott1.6711119113WSep 8 · 10:00J. Grohsgott2.2571111113L. Madle1.57119991LSep 5 · 17:30J. Grohsgott3.00101511642M. Regner1.341213811113LSep 5 · 16:30M. Regner1.25812118113J. Grohsgott3.75111071172WSep 5 · 15:30J. Grohsgott1.671111133V. Stach2.1038110WSep 5 · 14:30M. Syroha1.91911111092J. Grohsgott1.80113912113LSep 5 · 13:00J. Grohsgott1.959530L. Havrda1.751111113LSep 5 · 12:30L. Havrda1.831111113J. Grohsgott1.838750LSep 5 · 11:30J. Grohsgott1.809119111M. Syroha1.9111811133WSep 5 · 10:30V. Stach2.1011470J. Grohsgott1.671311113
P. Sudek10
WSep 8 · 11:00L. Madle3.506119101P. Sudek1.2811511123WSep 8 · 10:30P. Sudek1.33117711113J. Svec3.2561111732LSep 4 · 09:00P. Sudek1.401191481M. Chalupnicek2.7581116113WSep 4 · 08:00M. Chalupnicek2.637101121P. Sudek1.4411125113LSep 4 · 07:00J. Svec3.50711119113P. Sudek1.2811881192LSep 4 · 06:30P. Sudek1.8011991192Z. Drabek1.91611117113WSep 1 · 09:28P. Sudek1.571111123M. Chalupnicek2.2545100LSep 1 · 08:00M. Chalupnicek2.251151011133P. Sudek1.57511126112WSep 1 · 07:00J. Svec3.5010111161P. Sudek1.2812913113WSep 1 · 06:30P. Sudek2.0081111143J. Strnad1.731189121
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