TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13099018
Played Sep 8Finished
Jiri Svec
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
3111131416118119
Ludek Madle
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
How it is goingJiri Svec above · Ludek Madle below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 14-16
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 97 set 5, 11-9
97 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Svec 33–21 Ludek Madle Ludek Madle has won 21 of their 54 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Svec beat Madle 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Svec)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Madle form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSvec 1.57 / Madle 2.25
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Svec)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13099018
Svec1.57
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 58 of 92
Up 2–0, closes it94% 32 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it82% 42 of 51
Madle2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog42% won 44 of 105
Down 0–1, comes back15% 6 of 39
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 27
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSvec6wins
AwayMadle4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSvec leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSvec75%3 of 4
AwayMadle50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Svec4Madle6n = 10Madle took 6 of 10
S2Svec7Madle3n = 10Svec took 7 of 10
S3Svec7Madle3n = 10Svec took 7 of 10
S4Svec5Madle3n = 8Svec took 5 of 8
S5Svec1Madle2n = 3Madle took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSvecMadleS − MBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match41.138.6+2.5per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSvecMadleBasisWin rate · lifetime397 / 852 vs 261 / 54446.6%48%397 / 852 vs 261 / 544Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SvecSvec 1.57/Madle 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.1%
Svec · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Svec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 12:30J. Svec—1111113L. Madle—7890
LAug 25 · 11:30J. Svec—10111171L. Madle—12813113
WAug 24 · 08:30J. Svec—711118113L. Madle—11541142
WAug 11 · 09:30J. Svec—1111123L. Madle—89100
WAug 11 · 06:30J. Svec—11711113L. Madle—711841
LJul 30 · 11:00J. Svec—1312911112L. Madle—1510118133
LJul 20 · 09:29J. Svec—1331161L. Madle—111113113
WJul 20 · 08:00J. Svec—121211113L. Madle—1410681
LJul 15 · 08:30J. Svec—97111182L. Madle—111169113
WJul 14 · 08:30J. Svec—31111113L. Madle—118991
J. Svec10
WSep 8 · 12:30L. Madle2.257890J. Svec1.571111113LSep 8 · 11:30J. Svec2.10781151J. Grohsgott1.6711119113LSep 8 · 10:30P. Sudek1.33117711113J. Svec3.2561111732LSep 7 · 13:09M. Chalupnicek1.3011117123J. Svec3.404411101LSep 7 · 12:30J. Strnad1.2210131110113J. Svec4.00121151272LSep 7 · 11:30J. Svec2.101012141142M. Chalupnicek1.671210169113LSep 7 · 10:30P. Kulhanek1.4411138113J. Svec2.637111161WSep 4 · 09:30J. Svec2.501111113Z. Drabek1.503770LSep 4 · 08:30J. Svec2.5012761182Z. Drabek1.501011115113WSep 4 · 07:00J. Svec3.50711119113P. Sudek1.2811881192
L. Madle10
LSep 8 · 12:30L. Madle2.257890J. Svec1.571111113LSep 8 · 11:00L. Madle3.506119101P. Sudek1.2811511123LSep 8 · 10:00J. Grohsgott2.2571111113L. Madle1.57119991LAug 25 · 13:29L. Madle1.53812661M. Lubas2.38111011113WAug 25 · 12:00L. Madle1.57111214113M. Lubas2.257141271WAug 25 · 11:30J. Svec1.6110111171L. Madle2.2012813113WAug 25 · 10:00L. Madle4.0011911113M. Regner1.22711691LAug 24 · 08:58J. Grohsgott2.20614811113L. Madle1.61111211782LAug 24 · 08:30J. Svec1.73711118113L. Madle2.0011541142LAug 24 · 07:30L. Madle1.4411991682J. Grohsgott2.638111114113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.