TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13087531
Played Sep 7Finished
Milan Regner
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115115114––––
Miroslav Vaclavik
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:16 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMilan Regner to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMilan Regner above · Miroslav Vaclavik below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 47 set 3, 11-4 — our read held Milan Regner at 54.0%
47 points played in total.
H2H Milan Regner 1–0 Miroslav Vaclavik Miroslav Vaclavik has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:16What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Regner
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Regner 1194 vs Vaclavik 1256
Vaclavik
Wrong
both rated, 63 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Regner 60% vs Vaclavik 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Regner 60% vs Vaclavik 40%
Regner
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Regner -1 · Vaclavik -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Regner) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vaclavik form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRegner 1.61 / Vaclavik 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Regner)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13087531
Regner1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite53% won 80 of 151
Up 2–0, closes it85% 39 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it78% 57 of 73
Vaclavik2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog45% won 23 of 51
Down 0–1, comes back20% 5 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back16% 3 of 19
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeRegner1wins
AwayVaclavik0wins
Regner leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricRegnerVaclavikR − VBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match44.028.0+16.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRegnerVaclavikBasisWin rate · lifetime242 / 523 vs 96 / 18046.3%53.3%242 / 523 vs 96 / 180Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.636.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RegnerRegner 1.61/Vaclavik 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Regner · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Regner won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 2 · 10:00M. Regner—15711113M. Vaclavik—1311221
M. Regner10
LSep 7 · 10:30D. Mutl3.251111113M. Regner1.338980WSep 5 · 17:30J. Grohsgott3.00101511642M. Regner1.341213811113WSep 5 · 16:30M. Regner1.25812118113J. Grohsgott3.75111071172LSep 5 · 15:00M. Regner2.00861151M. Syroha1.7311114113WSep 5 · 14:00V. Stach2.509790M. Regner1.501111113WSep 2 · 13:28D. Mutl2.1061180M. Regner1.671113113WSep 2 · 12:30M. Regner1.3091311113J. Grohsgott3.401111451LSep 2 · 11:00M. Regner1.44811681D. Mutl2.6311311113WSep 2 · 10:00M. Vaclavik1.831311221M. Regner1.8315711113LAug 30 · 16:58M. Barta2.75114611113M. Regner1.4051111962
M. Vaclavik10
WSep 7 · 12:00M. Vaclavik1.61771111113D. Mutl2.2011116852LSep 7 · 10:00M. Vaclavik1.5711115111M. Lubas2.2591311133WSep 4 · 03:30J. Grohsgott2.1091111862M. Vaclavik1.65119911113WSep 4 · 02:30A. Hejduk2.506790M. Vaclavik1.501111113WSep 4 · 01:00J. Strnad1.8339130M. Vaclavik1.831111153LSep 3 · 23:30M. Vaclavik1.918860J. Grohsgott1.801111113WSep 3 · 22:00M. Vaclavik1.401111133J. Cernik2.7585110LSep 2 · 12:59J. Grohsgott2.1051111143M. Vaclavik1.671172121LSep 2 · 12:00M. Vaclavik1.809890D. Mutl1.911111113LSep 2 · 10:00M. Vaclavik1.831311221M. Regner1.8315711113
Upcoming Matches
M. Regner
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M. Vaclavik
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