TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13087312
Played Sep 7Finished
Miroslav Vaclavik
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
11911135111113––
Miloslav Lubas
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:29 and never touched — 73.8% is still 73.8%
Graded at full timeMiroslav Vaclavik to win
73.8%
73.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMiroslav Vaclavik above · Miloslav Lubas below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-13
Point 84 set 4, 11-13 — our read held Miroslav Vaclavik at 73.8%
84 points played in total.
H2H Miroslav Vaclavik 3–1 Miloslav Lubas Miloslav Lubas has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:29What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Vaclavik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Vaclavik
Wrong
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vaclavik 1271 vs Lubas 1195
Vaclavik
Wrong
both rated, 76 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vaclavik 80% vs Lubas 0%
Vaclavik
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vaclavik 50% vs Lubas 30%
Vaclavik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vaclavik +3 · Lubas -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Vaclavik) · live re-read · sealed at 74% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lubas form (0%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVaclavik 1.57 / Lubas 2.25
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Vaclavik)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13087312
Vaclavik1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite66% won 36 of 55
Up 2–0, closes it95% 20 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it87% 32 of 37
Lubas2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog49% won 41 of 83
Down 0–1, comes back26% 11 of 42
Down 0–2, comes back17% 5 of 30
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeVaclavik3wins
AwayLubas1wins
1 of 4 to a deciderVaclavik leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vaclavik2Lubas2n = 4split evenly
S2Vaclavik3Lubas1n = 4Vaclavik took 3 of 4
S3Vaclavik3Lubas1n = 4Vaclavik took 3 of 4
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home250%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricVaclavikLubasV − LBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match32.231.2+1.0per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVaclavikLubasBasisWin rate · lifetime96 / 179 vs 155 / 32253.6%48.1%96 / 179 vs 155 / 322Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.736.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VaclavikVaclavik 1.57/Lubas 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.7%
Vaclavik · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Lubas won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WAug 29 · 17:30M. Vaclavik—1211113M. Lubas—10690
WAug 29 · 16:00M. Vaclavik—1411113M. Lubas—12950
LOct 21 · 21:30M. Vaclavik—6530M. Lubas—1111113
WOct 21 · 18:00M. Vaclavik—611116113M. Lubas—11591152
M. Vaclavik10
LSep 7 · 13:00M. Vaclavik2.756950M. Regner1.401111113WSep 7 · 12:00M. Vaclavik1.61771111113D. Mutl2.2011116852LSep 7 · 11:30M. Regner1.611111113M. Vaclavik2.205540WSep 4 · 03:30J. Grohsgott2.1091111862M. Vaclavik1.65119911113WSep 4 · 02:30A. Hejduk2.506790M. Vaclavik1.501111113WSep 4 · 01:00J. Strnad1.8339130M. Vaclavik1.831111153LSep 3 · 23:30M. Vaclavik1.918860J. Grohsgott1.801111113WSep 3 · 22:00M. Vaclavik1.401111133J. Cernik2.7585110LSep 2 · 12:59J. Grohsgott2.1051111143M. Vaclavik1.671172121LSep 2 · 12:00M. Vaclavik1.809890D. Mutl1.911111113
M. Lubas10
WSep 7 · 12:30M. Lubas1.731111113M. Regner2.004440WSep 7 · 11:00M. Lubas1.73911811123D. Mutl2.00116117102LSep 3 · 21:00J. Pelikan1.67411211113M. Lubas2.1011811452LSep 3 · 20:30M. Lubas2.105790V. Sr1.671111113LSep 3 · 19:00M. Lubas2.101011111282J. Pelikan1.67124314113LSep 3 · 18:00J. Grohsgott2.2011119113M. Lubas1.61581191LAug 29 · 17:30M. Vaclavik1.801211113M. Lubas1.9010690LAug 29 · 16:00M. Lubas1.5312950M. Vaclavik2.381411113WAug 29 · 15:30V. Stach2.2084121482M. Lubas1.6111111012113WAug 29 · 14:00M. Lubas1.731111113J. Grohsgott2.005470
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